Passing
PSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- PSU defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Governor's Victory Bell
Forecast win probability
MINN 12.8%87.2% PSU
- Projected margin
- PSU by 17.6
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- MINN 1 to PSU 36
- Win probability
- PSU 87.2%
Current team profiles
MinnesotaPenn StateWhen Minnesota has the ball
Rushing
PSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #123
- PSU defense
- #112
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
PSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- PSU defense
- #58
Success rates
43%
#76
39%
#58
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#106
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.12
#121
1.22
#73
Explosiveness
14%
#63
17%
#45
Havoc
When Penn State has the ball
Passing
PSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #38
- PSU offense
- #33
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.36
#33
Pass EPA
Rushing
PSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #107
- PSU offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #58
- PSU offense
- #90
Success rates
39%
#58
42%
#90
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#57
0.16
#67
EPA / play
1.18
#50
1.23
#70
Explosiveness
22%
#6
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
MinnesotaQBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 87.2
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 48
- Passer rating allowed
- 53.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 26.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 39.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01
Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher
- Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07
Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
Penn StateQBAlex Manske
102 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
67.2189/729
WRKoby Howard
12 rec · 344 yds · 2 TD
93.02/2069
SBryson Williams
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.1
- Coverage
- 93.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 1
92.82/2969
LBTony Rojas
34 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.6
- Coverage
- 87.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 25
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.038/1796
RBCam Wallace
125 yds · 2 TD · 5.7 YPC
77.4126/1044
CBDaryus Dixson
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.2114/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Koby Howard · WRout · 2026-09-23
Howard is tending to an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Max Granville · DLout · 2026-09-12
Granville has been shut down for the remainder of the season with an undisclosed injury.
- Brian Kortovich · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Kortovich is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wolverines on Saturday, October 17t
- Cristiano Rosa · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Rosa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, it is unclear if he will play Saturday against Wolverines on Saturday, October 17th.
- D'Antae Sheffey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Sheffey is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Wolverines on Saturday, Octob
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MINNMinnesota
PSUPenn State
vs
Offense
72.5
#93 of 138
QB
Quarterback
67.2
#113 of 138
74.5
#78 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.4
#60 of 138
74.7
#35 of 138
WR
Receivers
79.8
#11 of 138
57.3
#134 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.7
#73 of 138
76.0
#13 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.1
#45 of 138
Defense
77.1
#35 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.0
#85 of 138
77.0
#43 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.5
#33 of 138
74.7
#37 of 138
DB
Secondary
80.2
#1 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Minnesota
opponent
Penn State
Aaway-28.0
PURPurdue#67+19.7Hhome
Hhome-8.5
NUNorthwestern#16-21.0Aaway
Hhome+6.0
MICHMichigan#23+3.0Aaway
Aaway-6.2
WISWisconsin#32-4.0Hhome
Aaway+3.0
WASHWashington#45+1.6Aaway