Passing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU offense
- #33
- MICH defense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
-0.11
#6
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
PSU 57.3%42.7% MICH
- Projected margin
- PSU by 3.0
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- PSU 22 to MICH 16
- Win probability
- PSU 57.3%
Current team profiles
Penn StateMichiganWhen Penn State has the ball
Rushing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU offense
- #93
- MICH defense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU offense
- #90
- MICH defense
- #7
Success rates
42%
#90
33%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#67
-0.12
#6
EPA / play
1.23
#70
1.14
#30
Explosiveness
14%
#45
17%
#49
Havoc
When Michigan has the ball
Passing
PSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU defense
- #20
- MICH offense
- #74
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.21
#74
Pass EPA
Rushing
MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU defense
- #112
- MICH offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
PSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU defense
- #58
- MICH offense
- #83
Success rates
39%
#58
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.09
#93
EPA / play
1.22
#73
1.15
#109
Explosiveness
17%
#45
16%
#102
Havoc
Current key players
Penn StateQBAlex Manske
102 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
67.2189/729
WRKoby Howard
12 rec · 344 yds · 2 TD
93.02/2069
SBryson Williams
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.1
- Coverage
- 93.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 1
92.82/2969
LBTony Rojas
34 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.6
- Coverage
- 87.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 25
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.038/1796
RBCam Wallace
125 yds · 2 TD · 5.7 YPC
77.4126/1044
CBDaryus Dixson
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.2114/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Koby Howard · WRout · 2026-09-23
Howard is tending to an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Max Granville · DLout · 2026-09-12
Granville has been shut down for the remainder of the season with an undisclosed injury.
- Brian Kortovich · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Kortovich is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wolverines on Saturday, October 17t
- Cristiano Rosa · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Rosa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, it is unclear if he will play Saturday against Wolverines on Saturday, October 17th.
- D'Antae Sheffey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Sheffey is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Wolverines on Saturday, Octob
MichiganQBTommy Carr
23 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.111/729
WRJJ Buchanan
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
87.417/2069
LBNathaniel Staehling
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.3
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.963/1796
CBJyaire Hill
25 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.583/2969
LBMax Alford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 61.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3130/1796
SJacob Oden
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.2
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -3
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.8201/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Andrew Sprague · OGout · 2026-09-26
Sprague is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday.
- John Henry Daley · DLQues. · 2026-09-28
Daley is dealing with a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Minnesota on Tuesday.
- Logan Forbes · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Forbes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Iowa on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
PSUPenn State
MICHMichigan
vs
Offense
67.2
#113 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.1
#10 of 138
76.4
#60 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.4
#132 of 138
79.8
#11 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#59 of 138
68.7
#73 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.1
#105 of 138
71.1
#45 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.6
#24 of 138
Defense
72.0
#85 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.6
#14 of 138
78.5
#33 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.0
#36 of 138
80.2
#1 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.6
#39 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Penn State
opponent
Michigan
Hhome+17.6
MINNMinnesota#54-6.0Aaway
Hhome+19.5
RUTGRutgers#89+8.5Aaway