Passing
PSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU offense
- #33
- MD defense
- #65
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.12
#65
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
PSU 80.2%19.8% MD
- Projected margin
- PSU by 13.2
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- PSU 32 to MD 5
- Win probability
- PSU 80.2%
Current team profiles
Penn State
MarylandWhen Penn State has the ball
Rushing
MD defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU offense
- #93
- MD defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
MD defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU offense
- #90
- MD defense
- #86
Success rates
42%
#90
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#67
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.23
#70
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
14%
#45
16%
#74
Havoc
When Maryland has the ball
Passing
PSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU defense
- #20
- MD offense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
MD offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU defense
- #112
- MD offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
PSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PSU defense
- #58
- MD offense
- #106
Success rates
39%
#58
40%
#106
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.03
#112
EPA / play
1.22
#73
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
17%
#45
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
Penn StateQBAlex Manske
102 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
67.2189/729
WRKoby Howard
12 rec · 344 yds · 2 TD
93.02/2069
SBryson Williams
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.1
- Coverage
- 93.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 1
92.82/2969
LBTony Rojas
34 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.6
- Coverage
- 87.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 25
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.038/1796
RBCam Wallace
125 yds · 2 TD · 5.7 YPC
77.4126/1044
CBDaryus Dixson
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.2114/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Koby Howard · WRout · 2026-09-23
Howard is tending to an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Max Granville · DLout · 2026-09-12
Granville has been shut down for the remainder of the season with an undisclosed injury.
- Brian Kortovich · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Kortovich is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wolverines on Saturday, October 17t
- Cristiano Rosa · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Rosa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, it is unclear if he will play Saturday against Wolverines on Saturday, October 17th.
- D'Antae Sheffey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Sheffey is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Wolverines on Saturday, Octob
MarylandQBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.3
- Coverage
- 62.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 166
- Passer rating allowed
- 72.0
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.2
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13
Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
PSUPenn State
MDMaryland
vs
Offense
67.2
#113 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.8
#7 of 138
76.4
#60 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.1
#118 of 138
79.8
#11 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.8
#9 of 138
68.7
#73 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.1
#111 of 138
71.1
#45 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.8
#62 of 138
Defense
72.0
#85 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.5
#59 of 138
78.5
#33 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.5
#84 of 138
80.2
#1 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.5
#122 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Penn State
opponent
Maryland
Hhome+19.7
PURPurdue#67-1.4Aaway
Hhome+19.5
RUTGRutgers#89+3.7Hhome
Hhome-8.0
USCUSC#17-19.6Aaway
Hhome-4.0
WISWisconsin#32-1.8Hhome