CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ET
Heroes Trophy
Forecast win probability
NEB 45.7%54.3% IOWA
Projected margin
IOWA by 1.6
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
NEB 17 to IOWA 20
Win probability
IOWA 54.3%

Current team profiles

Nebraska
Iowa

When Nebraska has the ball

Passing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB offense
#47
IOWA defense
#96
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.24
#96
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB offense
#3
IOWA defense
#6
EPA comparison
0.33
#3
-0.21
#6
Rush EPA

Drive success

IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB offense
#36
IOWA defense
#18
Success rates
48%
#36
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#14
-0.02
#36
EPA / play
1.38
#14
1.15
#33
Explosiveness
13%
#37
17%
#59
Havoc

When Iowa has the ball

Passing

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB defense
#7
IOWA offense
#66
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB defense
#63
IOWA offense
#30
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.20
#30
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB defense
#18
IOWA offense
#49
Success rates
34%
#18
45%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#35
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.36
#120
1.23
#73
Explosiveness
19%
#28
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

Nebraska
QBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
83.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.4
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
13
Passer rating allowed
34.7
Missed tackles
1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
46
Passer rating allowed
65.0
Missed tackles
0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

Iowa
QBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
83.2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
142
Passer rating allowed
68.2
Missed tackles
0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
82.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NEB
IOWA
vs
Offense
91.1
#11 of 138
QB
76.8
#75 of 138
83.2
#18 of 138
RB
80.8
#33 of 138
69.6
#86 of 138
WR
68.1
#108 of 138
67.3
#79 of 138
TE
74.4
#41 of 138
71.7
#41 of 138
OL
79.1
#5 of 138
Defense
77.8
#27 of 138
DL
74.3
#62 of 138
79.3
#25 of 138
LB
81.6
#13 of 138
71.6
#74 of 138
DB
75.4
#29 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Nebraska
opponent
Iowa
H+4.6
WASH#45
+17.0A
H-10.7
OSU#2
-17.0H
A+2.9
ILL#47
+1.8A