AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 8:00 PM
Away
Northern Iowa
—
8p
#22Home
Iowa
0-0 · AVR 67.0
48p
UNI 0%100% IOWA
Spread
IOWA -39.9
Total
56
Moneyline
UNI—IOWA—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Iowa
DBZach Lutmer
91.96/1427
DBTyler Browndoubtful
84.254/1427
DBDeshaun Lee
77.2122/1427
RBKamari Moulton
74.138/514
TEDJ Vonnahme
72.68/287
LBJayden Montgomery
62.0253/878

Projected margin

80% between 23 and 57
-7-3+3+7+14PKIOWA +39.995% interval: 16.9 to 62.980% interval: 23.2 to 56.6+23+57UNI wins 0%IOWA wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ IOWA 49–7 UNIIOWA 46–32 UNI neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesIOWA 49–28 UNI neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesIOWA 53–25 UNI neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesIOWA 56–21 UNI neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesIOWA 60–18 UNI neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesIOWA 63–14 UNI neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesIOWA 67–11 UNI neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesIOWA 70–7 UNI neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesIOWA 74–4 UNI neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesIOWA 42–28 UNI neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesIOWA 46–25 UNI neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesIOWA 49–21 UNI neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesIOWA 53–18 UNI neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesIOWA 56–14 UNI neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesIOWA 60–11 UNI neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesIOWA 63–7 UNI neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesIOWA 67–4 UNI neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesIOWA 70–0 UNI neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesIOWA 39–25 UNI neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesIOWA 42–21 UNI neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesIOWA 46–18 UNI neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesIOWA 49–14 UNI neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesIOWA 53–11 UNI neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesIOWA 56–7 UNI neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesIOWA 60–4 UNI neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesIOWA 63–0 UNI neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)IOWA 35–21 UNI neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesIOWA 39–18 UNI neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesIOWA 42–14 UNI neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesIOWA 46–11 UNI neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesIOWA 49–7 UNI neighborhood · ~4.1% of outcomesIOWA 53–4 UNI neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesIOWA 56–0 UNI neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)IOWA 32–18 UNI neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesIOWA 35–14 UNI neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesIOWA 39–11 UNI neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesIOWA 42–7 UNI neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesIOWA 46–4 UNI neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesIOWA 49–0 UNI neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)IOWA 28–14 UNI neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesIOWA 32–11 UNI neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesIOWA 35–7 UNI neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesIOWA 39–4 UNI neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesIOWA 42–0 UNI neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)IOWA 25–11 UNI neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesIOWA 28–7 UNI neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesIOWA 32–4 UNI neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesIOWA 35–0 UNI neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalIOWA +14IOWA +28IOWA +42IOWA +56IOWA +70margin →