CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNI 0.2%99.8% IOWA
Projected margin
IOWA by 43.4
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
IOWA 24 to IOWA 63
Win probability
IOWA 99.8%
FinalUNI 0 · IOWA 55model had +43.4, off by 11.6

Current team profiles

Northern Iowa
Iowa

When Northern Iowa has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UNI offense
—
IOWA defense
#96
EPA comparison
—
0.24
#96
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UNI offense
—
IOWA defense
#6
EPA comparison
—
-0.21
#6
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UNI offense
#12
IOWA defense
#18
Success rates
49%
#12
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#17
-0.02
#36
EPA / play
0.23
#27
1.15
#33
Explosiveness
—
17%
#59
Havoc

When Iowa has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UNI defense
—
IOWA offense
#66
EPA comparison
—
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UNI defense
—
IOWA offense
#30
EPA comparison
—
0.20
#30
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UNI defense
#95
IOWA offense
#49
Success rates
47%
#95
45%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#58
0.18
#57
EPA / play
0.20
#46
1.23
#73
Explosiveness
—
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

Northern Iowa
RBCaleb Kamara
70 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
84.014/631
TEKai Black
4 rec · 82 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.6
Run blocking
51.8
Penalties
0
83.93/526
TEBrady McCullough
8 rec · 117 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.1
Run blocking
71.2
Penalties
2
82.74/526
DBJosiah Young
4 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
54.0
Coverage
85.1
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
43.1
Missed tackles
2
82.725/1765
LBJarrett Kies
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.1
Coverage
62.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.861/1054
DBCalvin Jaworski
17 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Coverage
78.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
53
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
3
77.387/1765
Iowa
QBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
83.2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
142
Passer rating allowed
68.2
Missed tackles
0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
82.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UNI
IOWA
vs
Offense
69.7
#74 of 125
QB
76.8
#75 of 138
78.8
#13 of 126
RB
80.8
#33 of 138
68.3
#70 of 126
WR
68.1
#108 of 138
83.9
#3 of 124
TE
74.4
#41 of 138
62.8
#84 of 125
OL
79.1
#5 of 138
Defense
68.8
#87 of 126
DL
74.3
#62 of 138
73.0
#47 of 126
LB
81.6
#13 of 138
75.4
#17 of 126
DB
75.4
#29 of 138
Common opponents