CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Fri Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
IOWA 64.4%35.6% WASH
Projected margin
IOWA by 5.0
Projected total
43
80% outcome range
IOWA 24 to WASH 14
Win probability
IOWA 64.4%
FinalIOWA 41 · WASH 24model had -5.0, off by 12.0

Current team profiles

Iowa
Washington

When Iowa has the ball

Passing

IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
IOWA offense
#66
WASH defense
#69
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
IOWA offense
#30
WASH defense
#29
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
IOWA offense
#49
WASH defense
#67
Success rates
45%
#49
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#57
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.23
#73
1.16
#39
Explosiveness
11%
#14
17%
#45
Havoc

When Washington has the ball

Passing

WASH offense
Higher-ranked profile
IOWA defense
#96
WASH offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.24
#96
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
IOWA defense
#6
WASH offense
#116
EPA comparison
-0.21
#6
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
IOWA defense
#18
WASH offense
#91
Success rates
34%
#18
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#36
0.13
#76
EPA / play
1.15
#33
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
17%
#59
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Iowa
QBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
83.2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
142
Passer rating allowed
68.2
Missed tackles
0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
82.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .

Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

IOWA
WASH
vs
Offense
76.8
#75 of 138
QB
71.8
#95 of 138
80.8
#33 of 138
RB
67.9
#129 of 138
68.1
#108 of 138
WR
67.8
#111 of 138
74.4
#41 of 138
TE
73.8
#43 of 138
79.1
#5 of 138
OL
67.3
#74 of 138
Defense
74.3
#62 of 138
DL
74.5
#58 of 138
81.6
#13 of 138
LB
69.8
#106 of 138
75.4
#29 of 138
DB
75.0
#35 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Iowa
opponent
Washington
A+8.8
MINN#54
-3.0H
H+1.6
NEB#12
-4.6A
H+16.3
PUR#67
+10.2A