CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
PUR 15.2%84.8% IOWA
Projected margin
IOWA by 16.3
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
PUR 2 to IOWA 35
Win probability
IOWA 84.8%

Current team profiles

Purdue
Iowa

When Purdue has the ball

Passing

PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR offense
#24
IOWA defense
#96
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.24
#96
Pass EPA

Rushing

IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR offense
#63
IOWA defense
#6
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.21
#6
Rush EPA

Drive success

IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR offense
#44
IOWA defense
#18
Success rates
46%
#44
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#29
-0.02
#36
EPA / play
1.21
#83
1.15
#33
Explosiveness
12%
#30
17%
#59
Havoc

When Iowa has the ball

Passing

IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR defense
#119
IOWA offense
#66
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR defense
#125
IOWA offense
#30
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.20
#30
Rush EPA

Drive success

IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR defense
#120
IOWA offense
#49
Success rates
46%
#120
45%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#132
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.40
#127
1.23
#73
Explosiveness
14%
#105
11%
#14
Havoc

Current key players

Purdue
QBRyan Browne
1390 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
77.595/729
WRAsaad Waseem
27 rec · 453 yds · 1 TD
83.630/2069
DBMister Clark
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.8
Coverage
76.7
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
59
Passer rating allowed
95.8
Missed tackles
1
79.965/2969
RBFame Ijeboi
354 yds · 6 TD · 4.1 YPC
79.590/1044
WRXavier Townsend
28 rec · 307 yds · 2 TD
74.0146/2069
LBHudson Miller
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.4
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
70.1362/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Kylan Fox · TEout · 2026-08-13

    Fox is laid up with a knee injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Iowa
QBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
83.2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
142
Passer rating allowed
68.2
Missed tackles
0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
82.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .

Position units

Position-unit comparison

PUR
IOWA
vs
Offense
77.5
#72 of 138
QB
76.8
#75 of 138
75.2
#72 of 138
RB
80.8
#33 of 138
77.0
#26 of 138
WR
68.1
#108 of 138
69.3
#69 of 138
TE
74.4
#41 of 138
61.7
#121 of 138
OL
79.1
#5 of 138
Defense
72.2
#83 of 138
DL
74.3
#62 of 138
65.6
#132 of 138
LB
81.6
#13 of 138
66.1
#133 of 138
DB
75.4
#29 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Purdue
opponent
Iowa
H-10.2
WASH#45
+17.0A
H+28.0
MINN#54
+8.8A
H-3.0
WIS#32
+10.6H
A+7.0
ILL#47
+1.8A