Passing
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU offense
- #123
- IOWA defense
- #96
EPA comparison
0.00
#123
0.24
#96
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 4:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NIU 7.3%92.7% IOWA
- Projected margin
- IOWA by 23.2
- Projected total
- 45
- 80% outcome range
- IOWA 3 to IOWA 44
- Win probability
- IOWA 92.7%
FinalNIU 0 · IOWA 40model had +23.2, off by 16.8
Current team profiles
Northern IllinoisIowaWhen Northern Illinois has the ball
Rushing
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU offense
- #137
- IOWA defense
- #6
EPA comparison
-0.13
#137
-0.21
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU offense
- #125
- IOWA defense
- #18
Success rates
37%
#125
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#135
-0.02
#36
EPA / play
1.14
#110
1.15
#33
Explosiveness
17%
#112
17%
#59
Havoc
When Iowa has the ball
Passing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU defense
- #89
- IOWA offense
- #66
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU defense
- #131
- IOWA offense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.23
#131
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU defense
- #131
- IOWA offense
- #49
Success rates
49%
#131
45%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#121
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.20
#54
1.23
#73
Explosiveness
10%
#136
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
Northern IllinoisQBBrady Davidson
27 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
69.3166/729
DBAaron Warren
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.5
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
82.839/2969
LBJashawn Nelson
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.195/1796
RBJaidaun Cranford
59 yds · 0 TD · 7.4 YPC
74.6185/1044
CBYassine Falke
13 tkl · 0 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.1
- Coverage
- 65.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 30.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.7404/2969
WRDeAree Rogers
31 rec · 252 yds · 2 TD
69.9273/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Glen Weber · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Weber is battling with an undisclosed injury, and his status is unknown against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Da'sean Howard · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Howard is suffering with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
IowaQBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 83.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 142
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NIUNorthern Illinois
IOWAIowa
vs
Offense
69.3
#104 of 138
QB
Quarterback
76.8
#75 of 138
72.5
#103 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.8
#33 of 138
67.4
#117 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.1
#108 of 138
65.0
#90 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.4
#41 of 138
64.8
#97 of 138
OL
Offensive line
79.1
#5 of 138
Defense
64.5
#137 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.3
#62 of 138
69.3
#109 of 138
LB
Linebackers
81.6
#13 of 138
69.9
#100 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.4
#29 of 138