Passing
NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA offense
- #66
- NU defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
IOWA 44.0%56.0% NU
- Projected margin
- NU by 2.3
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- IOWA 16 to NU 21
- Win probability
- NU 56.0%
Current team profiles
IowaNorthwesternWhen Iowa has the ball
Rushing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA offense
- #30
- NU defense
- #73
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA offense
- #49
- NU defense
- #104
Success rates
45%
#49
43%
#104
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#57
0.06
#69
EPA / play
1.23
#73
1.11
#26
Explosiveness
11%
#14
17%
#49
Havoc
When Northwestern has the ball
Passing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA defense
- #96
- NU offense
- #9
EPA comparison
0.24
#96
0.52
#9
Pass EPA
Rushing
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA defense
- #6
- NU offense
- #21
EPA comparison
-0.21
#6
0.23
#21
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA defense
- #18
- NU offense
- #21
Success rates
34%
#18
49%
#21
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#36
0.33
#8
EPA / play
1.15
#33
1.31
#29
Explosiveness
17%
#59
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
IowaQBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 83.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 142
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .
NorthwesternQBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 35.0
- Run blocking
- 60.8
- Penalties
- 1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 100
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.6
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10
Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10
McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.
- Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,
- Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
IOWAIowa
NUNorthwestern
vs
Offense
76.8
#75 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.8
#87 of 138
80.8
#33 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.3
#34 of 138
68.1
#108 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.2
#126 of 138
74.4
#41 of 138
TE
Tight ends
85.0
#11 of 138
79.1
#5 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.8
#89 of 138
Defense
74.3
#62 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.7
#118 of 138
81.6
#13 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.7
#115 of 138
75.4
#29 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.6
#75 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Iowa
opponent
Northwestern
Aaway+1.8
ILLIllinois#47+6.8Hhome
Hhome-17.0
OSUOhio State#2-17.5Aaway
Aaway+8.8
MINNMinnesota#54+8.5Aaway