Passing
ISU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #82
- IOWA defense
- #96
EPA comparison
0.17
#82
0.24
#96
Pass EPA
- Projected margin
- IOWA by 12.5
- Projected total
- 46
- 80% outcome range
- ISU 7 to IOWA 34
- Win probability
- IOWA 77.9%
FinalISU 13 · IOWA 16model had +12.5, off by 9.5
Current team profiles
Iowa State
IowaWhen Iowa State has the ball
Rushing
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #63
- IOWA defense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.21
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #111
- IOWA defense
- #18
Success rates
39%
#111
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#79
-0.02
#36
EPA / play
1.30
#31
1.15
#33
Explosiveness
18%
#121
17%
#59
Havoc
When Iowa has the ball
Passing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #79
- IOWA offense
- #66
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #63
- IOWA offense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #73
- IOWA offense
- #49
Success rates
40%
#73
45%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#75
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.25
#86
1.23
#73
Explosiveness
15%
#79
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
IowaQBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 83.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 142
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ISUIowa State
IOWAIowa
vs
Offense
63.4
#124 of 138
QB
Quarterback
76.8
#75 of 138
81.6
#25 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.8
#33 of 138
72.0
#63 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.1
#108 of 138
59.6
#124 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.4
#41 of 138
70.2
#51 of 138
OL
Offensive line
79.1
#5 of 138
Defense
78.3
#22 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.3
#62 of 138
73.3
#77 of 138
LB
Linebackers
81.6
#13 of 138
76.8
#19 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.4
#29 of 138