Passing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA offense
- #66
- ILL defense
- #126
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.37
#126
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
IOWA 54.3%45.7% ILL
- Projected margin
- IOWA by 1.8
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- IOWA 20 to ILL 17
- Win probability
- IOWA 54.3%
Current team profiles
Iowa
IllinoisWhen Iowa has the ball
Rushing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA offense
- #30
- ILL defense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.12
#101
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA offense
- #49
- ILL defense
- #117
Success rates
45%
#49
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#57
0.25
#130
EPA / play
1.23
#73
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
11%
#14
12%
#125
Havoc
When Illinois has the ball
Passing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA defense
- #96
- ILL offense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.24
#96
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA defense
- #6
- ILL offense
- #39
EPA comparison
-0.21
#6
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- IOWA defense
- #18
- ILL offense
- #15
Success rates
34%
#18
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#36
0.23
#34
EPA / play
1.15
#33
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
17%
#59
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
IowaQBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 83.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 142
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
IOWAIowa
ILLIllinois
vs
Offense
76.8
#75 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.8
#14 of 138
80.8
#33 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.4
#70 of 138
68.1
#108 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.8
#31 of 138
74.4
#41 of 138
TE
Tight ends
73.7
#44 of 138
79.1
#5 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#60 of 138
Defense
74.3
#62 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#74 of 138
81.6
#13 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.7
#48 of 138
75.4
#29 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.0
#57 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Iowa
opponent
Illinois
Hhome+16.3
PURPurdue#67-7.0Hhome
Hhome-17.0
OSUOhio State#2-23.0Aaway
Aaway-2.3
NUNorthwestern#16-6.8Aaway
Hhome+1.6
NEBNebraska#12-2.9Hhome