Passing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #41
- OSU defense
- #11
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
-0.09
#11
Pass EPA
- Projected margin
- OSU by 23.3
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- OSU 3 to OSU 45
- Win probability
- OSU 94.1%
FinalILL 19 · OSU 42model had +23.3, off by 0.3
Current team profiles
IllinoisOhio StateWhen Illinois has the ball
Rushing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #39
- OSU defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #15
- OSU defense
- #16
Success rates
50%
#15
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#34
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.25
#60
1.16
#35
Explosiveness
11%
#14
19%
#27
Havoc
When Ohio State has the ball
Passing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #126
- OSU offense
- #4
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
0.60
#4
Pass EPA
Rushing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #101
- OSU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.12
#101
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #117
- OSU offense
- #10
Success rates
46%
#117
51%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#130
0.31
#13
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.29
#35
Explosiveness
12%
#125
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
Ohio StateQBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 91.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ILLIllinois
OSUOhio State
vs
Offense
90.8
#14 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.0
#6 of 138
75.4
#70 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.7
#37 of 138
75.8
#31 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.3
#23 of 138
73.7
#44 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.8
#104 of 138
69.2
#60 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.2
#44 of 138
Defense
72.8
#74 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.8
#26 of 138
76.7
#48 of 138
LB
Linebackers
85.6
#3 of 138
73.0
#57 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.4
#42 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Illinois
opponent
Ohio State
Aaway-6.8
NUNorthwestern#16+17.5Hhome
Aaway+5.3
MDMaryland#72+29.0Hhome
Hhome-10.9
OREOregon#8+8.0Hhome
Hhome-1.8
IOWAIowa#20+17.0Aaway
Hhome-2.9
NEBNebraska#12+10.7Aaway