Passing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #92
- OSU defense
- #11
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
-0.09
#11
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 12:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BALL 0.2%99.8% OSU
- Projected margin
- OSU by 45.4
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- OSU 25 to OSU 66
- Win probability
- OSU 99.8%
FinalBALL 3 · OSU 56model had +45.4, off by 7.6
Current team profiles
Ball StateOhio StateWhen Ball State has the ball
Rushing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #100
- OSU defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #128
- OSU defense
- #16
Success rates
36%
#128
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.38
#13
1.16
#35
Explosiveness
18%
#125
19%
#27
Havoc
When Ohio State has the ball
Passing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #132
- OSU offense
- #4
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.60
#4
Pass EPA
Rushing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #133
- OSU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.25
#133
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #114
- OSU offense
- #10
Success rates
45%
#114
51%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#136
0.31
#13
EPA / play
1.44
#135
1.29
#35
Explosiveness
13%
#113
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
Ohio StateQBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 91.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BALLBall State
OSUOhio State
vs
Offense
67.4
#112 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.0
#6 of 138
80.2
#35 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.7
#37 of 138
64.8
#130 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.3
#23 of 138
58.7
#130 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.8
#104 of 138
66.4
#86 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.2
#44 of 138
Defense
68.0
#121 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.8
#26 of 138
68.5
#116 of 138
LB
Linebackers
85.6
#3 of 138
67.8
#118 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.4
#42 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ball State
opponent
Ohio State
Aaway-13.0
KENTKent State#161+56.0Hhome
Aaway-31.0
NUNorthwestern#16+17.5Hhome