Passing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MD offense
- #125
- OSU defense
- #11
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
-0.09
#11
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 4:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MD 0.7%99.3% OSU
- Projected margin
- OSU by 35.7
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- OSU 16 to OSU 55
- Win probability
- OSU 99.3%
FinalMD 16 · OSU 45model had +35.7, off by 6.7
Current team profiles
MarylandOhio StateWhen Maryland has the ball
Rushing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MD offense
- #72
- OSU defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MD offense
- #106
- OSU defense
- #16
Success rates
40%
#106
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#112
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.25
#60
1.16
#35
Explosiveness
14%
#45
19%
#27
Havoc
When Ohio State has the ball
Passing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MD defense
- #65
- OSU offense
- #4
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.60
#4
Pass EPA
Rushing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MD defense
- #84
- OSU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MD defense
- #86
- OSU offense
- #10
Success rates
42%
#86
51%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#78
0.31
#13
EPA / play
1.20
#55
1.29
#35
Explosiveness
16%
#74
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
MarylandQBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.3
- Coverage
- 62.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 166
- Passer rating allowed
- 72.0
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.2
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13
Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
Ohio StateQBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 91.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MDMaryland
OSUOhio State
vs
Offense
91.8
#7 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.0
#6 of 138
70.1
#118 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.7
#37 of 138
80.8
#9 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.3
#23 of 138
61.1
#111 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.8
#104 of 138
68.8
#62 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.2
#44 of 138
Defense
74.5
#59 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.8
#26 of 138
72.5
#84 of 138
LB
Linebackers
85.6
#3 of 138
67.5
#122 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.4
#42 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Maryland
opponent
Ohio State
Aaway-25.0
NEBNebraska#12+10.7Aaway
Hhome-5.3
ILLIllinois#47+23.0Hhome
Aaway-19.6
USCUSC#17+7.3Aaway