CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
OSU 75.1%24.9% NEB
Projected margin
OSU by 10.7
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
OSU 29 to NEB 8
Win probability
OSU 75.1%

Current team profiles

Ohio State
Nebraska

When Ohio State has the ball

Passing

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#4
NEB defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.60
#4
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

Same rank
OSU offense
#63
NEB defense
#63
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#10
NEB defense
#18
Success rates
51%
#10
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#13
-0.02
#35
EPA / play
1.29
#35
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
13%
#31
19%
#28
Havoc

When Nebraska has the ball

Passing

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#11
NEB offense
#47
EPA comparison
-0.09
#11
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#18
NEB offense
#3
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.33
#3
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#16
NEB offense
#36
Success rates
34%
#16
48%
#36
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.31
#14
EPA / play
1.16
#35
1.38
#14
Explosiveness
19%
#27
13%
#37
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio State
QBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.7
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
40
Passer rating allowed
14.6
Missed tackles
0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

Nebraska
QBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
83.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.4
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
13
Passer rating allowed
34.7
Missed tackles
1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
46
Passer rating allowed
65.0
Missed tackles
0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OSU
NEB
vs
Offense
92.0
#6 of 138
QB
91.1
#11 of 138
79.7
#37 of 138
RB
83.2
#18 of 138
77.3
#23 of 138
WR
69.6
#86 of 138
62.8
#104 of 138
TE
67.3
#79 of 138
71.2
#44 of 138
OL
71.7
#41 of 138
Defense
77.8
#26 of 138
DL
77.8
#27 of 138
85.6
#3 of 138
LB
79.3
#25 of 138
74.4
#42 of 138
DB
71.6
#74 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ohio State
opponent
Nebraska
H+23.0
ILL#47
+2.9A
H+8.0
ORE#8
-10.7A
A+17.0
IOWA#20
-1.6A
A+1.9
IU#5
-3.0H
H+29.0
MD#72
+25.0H