CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KENT 0.1%99.9% OSU
Projected margin
OSU by 48.9
Projected total
63
80% outcome range
OSU 31 to OSU 66
Win probability
OSU 99.9%
FinalKENT 3 · OSU 59model had +48.9, off by 7.1

Current team profiles

Kent State
Ohio State

When Kent State has the ball

Passing

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#114
OSU defense
#11
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
-0.09
#11
Pass EPA

Rushing

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#126
OSU defense
#18
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#134
OSU defense
#16
Success rates
33%
#134
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#130
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.29
#34
1.16
#35
Explosiveness
18%
#122
19%
#27
Havoc

When Ohio State has the ball

Passing

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#113
OSU offense
#4
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
0.60
#4
Pass EPA

Rushing

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#93
OSU offense
#63
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#128
OSU offense
#10
Success rates
47%
#128
51%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#116
0.31
#13
EPA / play
1.20
#55
1.29
#35
Explosiveness
14%
#101
13%
#31
Havoc

Current key players

Kent State
QBDru DeShields
752 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
69.7156/729
DBDavion Pritchard
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
40.7
Coverage
81.1
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
67.7
Missed tackles
0
75.4181/2969
WRJay Jay Etheridge
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
73.5157/2069
LBSemaj Bridgeman
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
69.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
49
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
71.7296/1796
WRDa'Realyst Clark
20 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD
71.6210/2069
LBHayden Dawahare
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.0
Coverage
75.3
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
71.2323/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Maurice Stephens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stephens is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dylan Armentrout · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Armentrout is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Eli Tucker · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tucker is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • William Bierfeldt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bierfeldt is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

Ohio State
QBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.7
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
40
Passer rating allowed
14.6
Missed tackles
0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENT
OSU
vs
Offense
69.7
#101 of 138
QB
92.0
#6 of 138
63.5
#137 of 138
RB
79.7
#37 of 138
69.8
#83 of 138
WR
77.3
#23 of 138
60.2
#119 of 138
TE
62.8
#104 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
OL
71.2
#44 of 138
Defense
67.4
#130 of 138
DL
77.8
#26 of 138
70.4
#102 of 138
LB
85.6
#3 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
DB
74.4
#42 of 138
Common opponents