Passing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #9
- OSU defense
- #11
EPA comparison
0.52
#9
-0.09
#11
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
NU 12.8%87.2% OSU
- Projected margin
- OSU by 17.5
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- NU 1 to OSU 36
- Win probability
- OSU 87.2%
Current team profiles
Northwestern
Ohio StateWhen Northwestern has the ball
Rushing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #21
- OSU defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #21
- OSU defense
- #16
Success rates
49%
#21
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.33
#8
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.31
#29
1.16
#35
Explosiveness
15%
#69
19%
#27
Havoc
When Ohio State has the ball
Passing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #55
- OSU offense
- #4
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.60
#4
Pass EPA
Rushing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #73
- OSU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #104
- OSU offense
- #10
Success rates
43%
#104
51%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#69
0.31
#13
EPA / play
1.11
#26
1.29
#35
Explosiveness
17%
#49
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
NorthwesternQBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 35.0
- Run blocking
- 60.8
- Penalties
- 1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 100
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.6
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10
Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10
McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.
- Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,
- Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
Ohio StateQBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 91.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NUNorthwestern
OSUOhio State
vs
Offense
73.8
#87 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.0
#6 of 138
80.3
#34 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.7
#37 of 138
66.2
#126 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.3
#23 of 138
85.0
#11 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.8
#104 of 138
65.8
#89 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.2
#44 of 138
Defense
68.7
#118 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.8
#26 of 138
68.7
#115 of 138
LB
Linebackers
85.6
#3 of 138
71.6
#75 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.4
#42 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Northwestern
opponent
Ohio State
Hhome+31.0
BALLBall State#164+53.0Hhome
Aaway-12.2
OREOregon#8+8.0Hhome
Hhome+6.8
ILLIllinois#47+23.0Hhome
Hhome+2.3
IOWAIowa#20+17.0Aaway
Aaway-6.0
IUIndiana#5+1.9Aaway