Passing
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH offense
- #74
- ORE defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.21
#74
0.05
#34
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MICH 18.2%81.8% ORE
- Projected margin
- ORE by 14.1
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- MICH 4 to ORE 33
- Win probability
- ORE 81.8%
Current team profiles
MichiganOregonWhen Michigan has the ball
Rushing
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH offense
- #93
- ORE defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH offense
- #83
- ORE defense
- #37
Success rates
42%
#83
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#93
-0.03
#32
EPA / play
1.15
#109
1.21
#69
Explosiveness
16%
#102
16%
#62
Havoc
When Oregon has the ball
Passing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH defense
- #6
- ORE offense
- #41
EPA comparison
-0.11
#6
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH defense
- #12
- ORE offense
- #100
EPA comparison
-0.14
#12
0.03
#100
Rush EPA
Drive success
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH defense
- #7
- ORE offense
- #60
Success rates
33%
#7
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#6
0.17
#61
EPA / play
1.14
#30
1.32
#26
Explosiveness
17%
#49
14%
#67
Havoc
Current key players
MichiganQBTommy Carr
23 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.111/729
WRJJ Buchanan
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
87.417/2069
LBNathaniel Staehling
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.3
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.963/1796
CBJyaire Hill
25 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.583/2969
LBMax Alford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 61.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3130/1796
SJacob Oden
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.2
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -3
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.8201/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Andrew Sprague · OGout · 2026-09-26
Sprague is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday.
- John Henry Daley · DLQues. · 2026-09-28
Daley is dealing with a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Minnesota on Tuesday.
- Logan Forbes · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Forbes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Iowa on Saturday.
OregonQBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.7
- Coverage
- 61.2
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 50
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.3
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.5
- Run blocking
- 65.8
- Penalties
- 0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
- Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21
McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t
- Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MICHMichigan
OREOregon
vs
Offense
91.1
#10 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.8
#34 of 138
67.4
#132 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#27 of 138
72.0
#59 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.9
#49 of 138
62.1
#105 of 138
TE
Tight ends
79.8
#25 of 138
73.6
#24 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.7
#22 of 138
Defense
80.6
#14 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.9
#47 of 138
78.0
#36 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.4
#7 of 138
74.6
#39 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.2
#55 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Michigan
opponent
Oregon
Aaway-19.4
OSUOhio State#2-8.0Aaway
Hhome+4.2
UCLAUCLA#24-2.0Hhome
Hhome+12.3
MSUMichigan State#62+18.4Aaway