Passing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OU offense
- #55
- MICH defense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
-0.11
#6
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OU 63.1%36.9% MICH
- Projected margin
- OU by 4.9
- Projected total
- 43
- 80% outcome range
- OU 25 to MICH 14
- Win probability
- OU 63.1%
FinalOU 10 · MICH 17model had -4.9, off by 11.9
Current team profiles
OklahomaMichiganWhen Oklahoma has the ball
Rushing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OU offense
- #138
- MICH defense
- #12
EPA comparison
-0.24
#138
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OU offense
- #119
- MICH defense
- #7
Success rates
38%
#119
33%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#129
-0.12
#6
EPA / play
1.06
#132
1.14
#30
Explosiveness
17%
#114
17%
#49
Havoc
When Michigan has the ball
Passing
OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OU defense
- #12
- MICH offense
- #74
EPA comparison
-0.07
#12
0.21
#74
Pass EPA
Rushing
OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OU defense
- #26
- MICH offense
- #93
EPA comparison
-0.08
#26
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OU defense
- #2
- MICH offense
- #83
Success rates
32%
#2
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
-0.16
#3
0.09
#93
EPA / play
1.27
#89
1.15
#109
Explosiveness
21%
#14
16%
#102
Havoc
Current key players
OklahomaQBWhitt Newbauer
6 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
65.3214/729
DBPeyton Bowen
17 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
84.925/2969
LBDane Bathurst
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 63.9
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.560/1796
TETrynae Washington
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.4
- Run blocking
- 81.4
- Penalties
- 0
79.229/1017
WRIsaiah Sategna III
20 rec · 267 yds · 2 TD
75.7115/2069
DBEli Bowen
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.3
- Coverage
- 64.2
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 124
- Passer rating allowed
- 58.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
70.5412/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Trell Harris · WRout · 2026-09-15
Harris sustained a back injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Jer'Michael Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Carter is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jack Van Dorselaer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Dorselaer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
MichiganQBTommy Carr
23 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.111/729
WRJJ Buchanan
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
87.417/2069
LBNathaniel Staehling
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.3
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.963/1796
CBJyaire Hill
25 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.583/2969
LBMax Alford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 61.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3130/1796
SJacob Oden
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.2
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -3
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.8201/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Andrew Sprague · OGout · 2026-09-26
Sprague is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday.
- John Henry Daley · DLQues. · 2026-09-28
Daley is dealing with a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Minnesota on Tuesday.
- Logan Forbes · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Forbes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Iowa on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
OUOklahoma
MICHMichigan
vs
Offense
65.3
#119 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.1
#10 of 138
67.2
#134 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.4
#132 of 138
68.7
#99 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#59 of 138
79.2
#27 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.1
#105 of 138
73.3
#25 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.6
#24 of 138
Defense
77.6
#30 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.6
#14 of 138
73.7
#74 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.0
#36 of 138
71.9
#72 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.6
#39 of 138