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SEC

Oklahoma

Sooners3-27th in SEC
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK · 86,112
TeamCarried by the defense · underachieving the roster
OffenseStuck in the mud passing attack · poorweak point: run game, 138th
DefenseHavoc-driven · eliteweak point: big plays allowed, 89th

The season

Best win
W 27-24 vs (N) #7 Texas
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · won as a 19% underdog
Worst loss
L 10-17 @ #23 Michigan
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · lost as a 64% favorite

Schedule

model 3/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 4
    vsUTEP
    W 51–0
    Win chance 99%Model margin +31.9Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atMichigan
    L 10–17
    Win chance 64%Model margin +4.9Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsNew Mexico
    W 14–6
    Win chance 94%Model margin +20.6Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atGeorgia
    L 13–41
    Win chance 30%Model margin -7.0Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsTexasNeutral
    W 27–24
    Win chance 19%Model margin -11.9Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsKentucky
    Win chance 81%Model margin +12.0Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atMississippi State
    Win chance 57%Model margin +2.6Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsSouth Carolina
    Win chance 74%Model margin +8.6Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atFlorida
    Win chance 52%Model margin +0.6Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsOle Miss
    Win chance 59%Model margin +2.9Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsTexas A&M
    Win chance 52%Model margin +0.6Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atMissouri
    Win chance 43%Model margin -2.5Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
8
#136 of 138
Defense efficiency
96
#2 of 138
Efficiency
#129-0.04
EPA / play
#3-0.16
#550.27
Pass
#12-0.07
#138-0.24
Rush
#26-0.08
#11938%
Success
#232%
Big plays & havoc
#1321.06
Explosive
#891.27
#11417%
Havoc
#1421%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB119th
RB134th
WR99th
TE27th
OL25th
DL30th
LB74th
DB72nd

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Whitt NewbauerSO
6 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
65.3
214th QB
RB
Lloyd AvantJR
164 yds · 1 TD · 3.9 YPC
70.2
305th RB
WR
Isaiah Sategna IIISR
20 rec · 267 yds · 2 TD
75.7
115th WR
WR
Trell HarrisSR
6 rec · 104 yds · 1 TD
67.3
363rd WR
TE
Trynae WashingtonFR
— rec · — yds · — TD
79.2
29th TE
Defense
LB
Dane BathurstFR
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
82.5
60th LB
LB
James NestaSO
16 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
69.7
383rd LB
DB
Peyton BowenSR
17 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
84.9
25th DB
DB
Eli BowenJR
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
70.5
412th DB
DB
Jacobe JohnsonSR
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
69.7
459th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Trell HarrisWR

Harris sustained a back injury, and there is no timetable for return.

67.309-15
Ques.
Jer'Michael CarterWR

Carter is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

54.710-11
Ques.
Jack Van DorselaerTE

Dorselaer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

46.410-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsKentucky
    Playoff chance if win
    8.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.9%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atMississippi State
    Playoff chance if win
    10.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.9%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsSouth Carolina
    Playoff chance if win
    9.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.3%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atFlorida
    Playoff chance if win
    11.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.1%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsOle Miss
    Playoff chance if win
    10.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.5%
  6. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsTexas A&M
    Playoff chance if win
    10.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.3%
  7. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atMissouri
    Playoff chance if win
    12.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.4%

Past seasons

Year by year
+4.7 points since 2022
506070809070.6202277.8202369.2202475.32025
2022 70.62023 77.82024 69.22025 75.3

2025

10-2
D-I rank
#15
Rating
75.3
Listed games · 12
WWWWWLWLWWWW
317 pts scored167 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Illinois StateW 35–3
  2. W2 vs MichiganW 24–13
  3. W3 at TempleW 42–3
  4. W4 vs AuburnW 24–17
  5. W6 vs Kent StateW 44–0
  6. W7 vs TexasL 6–23
  7. W8 at South CarolinaW 26–7
  8. W9 vs Ole MissL 26–34
  9. W10 at TennesseeW 33–27
  10. W12 at AlabamaW 23–21
  11. W13 vs MissouriW 17–6
  12. W14 vs LSUW 17–13

2024

6-6
D-I rank
#32
Rating
69.2
Listed games · 12
WWWLWLLLWLWL
292 pts scored259 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs TempleW 51–3
  2. W2 vs HoustonW 16–12
  3. W3 vs TulaneW 34–19
  4. W4 vs TennesseeL 15–25
  5. W5 at AuburnW 27–21
  6. W7 vs TexasL 3–34
  7. W8 vs South CarolinaL 9–35
  8. W9 at Ole MissL 14–26
  9. W10 vs MaineW 59–14
  10. W11 at MissouriL 23–30
  11. W13 vs AlabamaW 24–3
  12. W14 at LSUL 17–37

2023

10-2
D-I rank
#11
Rating
77.8
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWLLWWW
518 pts scored267 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Arkansas StateW 73–0
  2. W2 vs SMUW 28–11
  3. W3 at TulsaW 66–17
  4. W4 at CincinnatiW 20–6
  5. W5 vs Iowa StateW 50–20
  6. W6 vs TexasW 34–30
  7. W8 vs UCFW 31–29
  8. W9 at KansasL 33–38
  9. W10 at Oklahoma StateL 24–27
  10. W11 vs West VirginiaW 59–20
  11. W12 at BYUW 31–24
  12. W13 vs TCUW 69–45

2022

6-6
D-I rank
#22
Rating
70.6
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLWWLLWL
395 pts scored355 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs UTEPW 45–13
  2. W2 vs Kent StateW 33–3
  3. W3 at NebraskaW 49–14
  4. W4 vs Kansas StateL 34–41
  5. W5 at TCUL 24–55
  6. W6 vs TexasL 0–49
  7. W7 vs KansasW 52–42
  8. W9 at Iowa StateW 27–13
  9. W10 vs BaylorL 35–38
  10. W11 at West VirginiaL 20–23
  11. W12 vs Oklahoma StateW 28–13
  12. W13 at Texas TechL 48–51