AVRCFB Model
All rankings
SEC

Oklahoma

Sooners0-04th in SEC
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK · 86,112
Rank —
11
Rating
74.3
TeamDefense-leaning roster
OffenseLoaded at the skill spots
DefenseStrong front seven, experienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#133UTEP
100%
Sep 444-7p›
2
at#13Michigan
41%
Sep 1223-26p›
3
vs#86New Mexico
97%
Sep 1939-13p›
4
at#3Georgia
19%
Sep 2620-32p›
6
vs#9TexasNGolden Hat
40%
Oct 1022-25p›
7
vs#67Kentucky
95%
Oct 1736-14p›
8
at#45Mississippi State
77%
Oct 2430-21p›
9
vs#29South Carolina
74%
Oct 3128-20p›
10
at#25Florida
58%
Nov 726-23p›
11
vs#14Ole Miss
57%
Nov 1428-25p›
12
vs#8Texas A&M
44%
Nov 2126-27p›
13
at#24Missouri
57%
Nov 2827-25p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#4172
Talent
#186
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB35th
RB52nd
WR20th
TE28th
OL49th
DL3rd
LB3rd
DB10th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 61.62025 ratings
X71.1
P. Livingstone
WR · SO47th
LT74.3
C. Nitta
OL · JR60th
LG43.0
E. Harris
OL · SR167th
C38.4
J. Maikkula
OL · SR187th
RG—
E. Pierre-Louis
OL · SO
RT—
H. Ozaeta
OL · JR
TE61.7
J. Dorselaer
TE · SO33rd
SL65.4
I. Sategna
WR · SR80th
Z66.8
T. Harris
WR · SR72nd
QB71.8
J. Mateer
QB · SR35th
RB62.3
L. Avant
RB · JR91st

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
John MateerSR
71.8
35th QB
RB
Lloyd AvantJR
62.3
91st RB
WR
Parker LivingstoneSO
71.1
47th WR
WR
Trell HarrisSR
66.8
72nd WR
TE
Jack Van DorselaerSO
61.7
33rd TE
Defense
LB
Kip LewisSR
92.3
6th LB
LB
Owen HeineckeSR
91.7
8th LB
DB
Peyton BowenSR
86.1
34th DB
DB
Eli BowenJR
83.0
63rd DB
DB
Courtland GuillorySO
82.4
68th DB

Injury report

4 out · 6 starters
out
Michael Fasusistarter
08-11
out
Jaren KanakTE
08-17
out
Oklahoma OLOL
08-18
out
MaikkulaC
08-21
doubtful
Jake MaikkulaOLstarter
08-21
questionable
A. BassRB
08-11
questionable
T. BlaylockRB
08-11
questionable
J. Hatton Jr.RB
08-16
probable
MateerQB
07-20
probable
HeineckeOL
08-15
probable
Trell HarrisWRstarter
08-16
probable
John MateerOLstarter
08-17
probable
Heath Ozaetastarter
08-18
probable
Eli BowenCBstarter
08-26

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

7%–43% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W6
vs#9Texas
15% lose36% win
±4.9
likely move
in odds
41% to win
W11
vs#14Ole Miss
12% lose33% win
±4.7
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W12
vs#8Texas A&M
15% lose35% win
±4.3
likely move
in odds
44% to win
W13
at#24Missouri
13% lose32% win
±4.0
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W4
at#3Georgia
19% lose43% win
±3.7
likely move
in odds
21% to win
W10
at#25Florida
13% lose31% win
±3.7
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W2
at#13Michigan
15% lose35% win
±3.7
likely move
in odds
41% to win
W9
vs#29South Carolina
10% lose29% win
±3.5
likely move
in odds
72% to win