CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MISS 43.1%56.9% OU
Projected margin
OU by 2.9
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
MISS 16 to OU 21
Win probability
OU 56.9%

Current team profiles

Ole Miss
Oklahoma

When Ole Miss has the ball

Passing

OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MISS offense
#15
OU defense
#12
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
-0.07
#12
Pass EPA

Rushing

OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MISS offense
#42
OU defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
-0.08
#26
Rush EPA

Drive success

OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MISS offense
#4
OU defense
#2
Success rates
53%
#4
32%
#2
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#26
-0.16
#3
EPA / play
1.13
#115
1.27
#89
Explosiveness
13%
#37
21%
#14
Havoc

When Oklahoma has the ball

Passing

OU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MISS defense
#98
OU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

MISS defense
Higher-ranked profile
MISS defense
#102
OU offense
#138
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
-0.24
#138
Rush EPA

Drive success

MISS defense
Higher-ranked profile
MISS defense
#114
OU offense
#119
Success rates
45%
#114
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#105
-0.04
#129
EPA / play
1.17
#42
1.06
#132
Explosiveness
16%
#65
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Ole Miss
QBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.8
Run blocking
70.3
Penalties
1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Oklahoma
QBWhitt Newbauer
6 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
65.3214/729
DBPeyton Bowen
17 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
83.7
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
84.925/2969
LBDane Bathurst
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
63.9
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.560/1796
TETrynae Washington
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.4
Run blocking
81.4
Penalties
0
79.229/1017
WRIsaiah Sategna III
20 rec · 267 yds · 2 TD
75.7115/2069
DBEli Bowen
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
124
Passer rating allowed
58.4
Missed tackles
1
70.5412/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Trell Harris · WRout · 2026-09-15

    Harris sustained a back injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Jer'Michael Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Carter is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jack Van Dorselaer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Dorselaer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MISS
OU
vs
Offense
85.0
#40 of 138
QB
65.3
#119 of 138
70.9
#114 of 138
RB
67.2
#134 of 138
77.1
#25 of 138
WR
68.7
#99 of 138
79.4
#26 of 138
TE
79.2
#27 of 138
64.5
#100 of 138
OL
73.3
#25 of 138
Defense
73.0
#71 of 138
DL
77.6
#30 of 138
71.2
#94 of 138
LB
73.7
#74 of 138
69.9
#99 of 138
DB
71.9
#72 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ole Miss
opponent
Oklahoma
A-24.0
FLA#22
+0.6A
H-6.9
UGA#6
-28.0A
A-8.0
TEX#7
+3.0N
H+2.5
MIZ#15
-2.5A
H+7.6
MSST#35
+2.6A