Passing
OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #60
- OU defense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
-0.07
#12
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET · neutral site
Golden Hat
Forecast win probability
TEX 80.1%19.9% OU
- Projected margin
- TEX by 11.9
- Projected total
- 40
- 80% outcome range
- TEX 31 to OU 7
- Win probability
- TEX 80.1%
FinalTEX 24 · OU 27model had -11.9, off by 14.9
Current team profiles
TexasOklahomaWhen Texas has the ball
Rushing
OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #93
- OU defense
- #26
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.08
#26
Rush EPA
Drive success
OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #69
- OU defense
- #2
Success rates
44%
#69
32%
#2
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#96
-0.16
#3
EPA / play
1.18
#97
1.27
#89
Explosiveness
17%
#110
21%
#14
Havoc
When Oklahoma has the ball
Passing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #20
- OU offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.27
#55
Pass EPA
Rushing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #22
- OU offense
- #138
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
-0.24
#138
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #25
- OU offense
- #119
Success rates
35%
#25
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
-0.04
#129
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.06
#132
Explosiveness
21%
#10
17%
#114
Havoc
Current key players
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
OklahomaQBWhitt Newbauer
6 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
65.3214/729
DBPeyton Bowen
17 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
84.925/2969
LBDane Bathurst
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 63.9
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.560/1796
TETrynae Washington
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.4
- Run blocking
- 81.4
- Penalties
- 0
79.229/1017
WRIsaiah Sategna III
20 rec · 267 yds · 2 TD
75.7115/2069
DBEli Bowen
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.3
- Coverage
- 64.2
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 124
- Passer rating allowed
- 58.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
70.5412/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Trell Harris · WRout · 2026-09-15
Harris sustained a back injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Jer'Michael Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Carter is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jack Van Dorselaer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Dorselaer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TEXTexas
OUOklahoma
vs
Offense
74.8
#83 of 138
QB
Quarterback
65.3
#119 of 138
74.0
#82 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.2
#134 of 138
74.5
#37 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.7
#99 of 138
63.2
#103 of 138
TE
Tight ends
79.2
#27 of 138
76.6
#10 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.3
#25 of 138
Defense
77.9
#24 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.6
#30 of 138
66.3
#127 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.7
#74 of 138
70.6
#89 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.9
#72 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Texas
opponent
Oklahoma
Hhome+11.1
FLAFlorida#22+0.6Aaway
Hhome+13.0
MSSTMississippi State#35+2.6Aaway
Hhome+8.0
MISSOle Miss#14+2.9Hhome
Aaway+2.6
MIZMissouri#15-2.5Aaway
Aaway+0.4
TA&MTexas A&M#28+0.6Hhome