CFB
Model
All rankings
SEC

Florida

Gators4-29th in SEC
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL · 88,548
TeamMiddle of the pack
OffenseGrinding · strong
DefenseHavoc-driven · average · stout against the runweak point: pass defense, 98th

The season

Best win
W 44-39 @ #42 Auburn
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · won as a 33% underdog
Worst loss
L 19-38 vs #38 South Carolina
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · lost as a 78% favorite

Schedule

model 3/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsFlorida Atlantic
    W 66–21
    Win chance 94%Model margin +20.5Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsCampbell
    W 52–3
    Win chance >99%Model margin +48.6Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atAuburn
    W 44–39
    Win chance 33%Model margin -5.9Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsOle Miss
    W 52–28
    Win chance 59%Model margin +3.2Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atMissouri
    L 17–45
    Win chance 78%Model margin +10.5Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsSouth Carolina
    L 19–38
    Win chance 78%Model margin +10.2Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atTexas
    Win chance 21%Model margin -11.1Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsGeorgiaNeutral
    Win chance 18%Model margin -12.6Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsOklahoma
    Win chance 48%Model margin -0.6Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atKentucky
    Win chance 60%Model margin +3.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsVanderbilt
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.0Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    atFlorida State
    Win chance 36%Model margin -5.0Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
70
#32 of 138
Defense efficiency
53
#61 of 138
Efficiency
#220.28
EPA / play
#820.09
#190.43
Pass
#980.25
#350.19
Rush
#630.03
#3048%
Success
#8342%
Big plays & havoc
#711.23
Explosive
#851.25
#2912%
Havoc
#3018%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB56th
RB9th
WR1st
TE15th
OL23rd
DL5th
LB12th
DB91st

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Aaron PhiloJR
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.1
70th QB
RB
Jadan BaughJR
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.6
17th RB
WR
Justin WilliamsFR
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.4
9th WR
WR
Vernell Brown IIISO
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.8
14th WR
TE
Micah JonesSO
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
83.7
15th TE
Defense
LB
KJ FordFR
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
90.1
12th LB
LB
Jayden WoodsSO
21 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 4.0 sk
81.0
68th LB
S
Bryce ThorntonSR
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
75.0
194th DB
S
DJ ColemanSR
14 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
70.8
395th DB
S
Alfonzo Allen Jr.SR
17 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
68.9
518th DB

Injury report

2 out
out
Kelvin JimenezRB

Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

—09-05
out
Davian GroceWR

Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

—09-07
Ques.
V. Brown IIIWR

Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.

87.810-05
probable
Eric Singleton Jr.WR

Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.

70.609-28
probable
London MontgomeryRB

Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.

64.310-09
probable
Bailey StocktonWR

Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.

60.610-02

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atTexas
    Playoff chance if win
    8.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.5%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsGeorgia
    Playoff chance if win
    8.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.6%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsOklahoma
    Playoff chance if win
    5.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.0%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atKentucky
    Playoff chance if win
    4.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.0%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsVanderbilt
    Playoff chance if win
    4.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.0%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 27
    atFlorida State
    Playoff chance if win
    5.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.8%

Past seasons

Year by year
+2.5 points since 2022
506070809065.9202264.8202373.8202468.42025
2022 65.92023 64.82024 73.82025 68.4

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#36
Rating
68.4
Listed games · 12
WLLLWLWLLLLW
259 pts scored288 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Long Island UniversityW 55–0
  2. W2 vs South FloridaL 16–18
  3. W3 at LSUL 10–20
  4. W4 at MiamiL 7–26
  5. W6 vs TexasW 29–21
  6. W7 at Texas A&ML 17–34
  7. W8 vs Mississippi StateW 23–21
  8. W10 vs GeorgiaL 20–24
  9. W11 at KentuckyL 7–38
  10. W12 at Ole MissL 24–34
  11. W13 vs TennesseeL 11–31
  12. W14 vs Florida StateW 40–21

2024

7-5
D-I rank
#17
Rating
73.8
Listed games · 12
LWLWWLWLLWWW
335 pts scored292 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs MiamiL 17–41
  2. W2 vs SamfordW 45–7
  3. W3 vs Texas A&ML 20–33
  4. W4 at Mississippi StateW 45–28
  5. W6 vs UCFW 24–13
  6. W7 at TennesseeL 17–23
  7. W8 vs KentuckyW 48–20
  8. W10 vs GeorgiaL 20–34
  9. W11 at TexasL 17–49
  10. W12 vs LSUW 27–16
  11. W13 vs Ole MissW 24–17
  12. W14 at Florida StateW 31–11

2023

5-7
D-I rank
#47
Rating
64.8
Listed games · 12
LWWWLWWLLLLL
341 pts scored331 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at UtahL 11–24
  2. W2 vs McNeeseW 49–7
  3. W3 vs TennesseeW 29–16
  4. W4 vs CharlotteW 22–7
  5. W5 at KentuckyL 14–33
  6. W6 vs VanderbiltW 38–14
  7. W7 at South CarolinaW 41–39
  8. W9 vs GeorgiaL 20–43
  9. W10 vs ArkansasL 36–39
  10. W11 at LSUL 35–52
  11. W12 at MissouriL 31–33
  12. W13 vs Florida StateL 15–24

2022

6-6
D-I rank
#45
Rating
65.9
Listed games · 12
WLWLWWLLWWLL
381 pts scored345 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs UtahW 29–26
  2. W2 vs KentuckyL 16–26
  3. W3 vs South FloridaW 31–28
  4. W4 at TennesseeL 33–38
  5. W5 vs Eastern WashingtonW 52–17
  6. W6 vs MissouriW 24–17
  7. W7 vs LSUL 35–45
  8. W9 vs GeorgiaL 20–42
  9. W10 at Texas A&MW 41–24
  10. W11 vs South CarolinaW 38–6
  11. W12 at VanderbiltL 24–31
  12. W13 at Florida StateL 38–45