Passing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #19
- FSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ET
Sunshine Showdown
Forecast win probability
FLA 37.5%62.5% FSU
- Projected margin
- FSU by 5.0
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- FLA 14 to FSU 24
- Win probability
- FSU 62.5%
Current team profiles
Florida
Florida StateWhen Florida has the ball
Rushing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #35
- FSU defense
- #112
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #30
- FSU defense
- #88
Success rates
48%
#30
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
0.16
#110
EPA / play
1.23
#71
1.31
#106
Explosiveness
12%
#29
16%
#68
Havoc
When Florida State has the ball
Passing
FSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #98
- FSU offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.22
#72
Pass EPA
Rushing
FSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #63
- FSU offense
- #8
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.28
#8
Rush EPA
Drive success
FSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #83
- FSU offense
- #57
Success rates
42%
#83
45%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#82
0.22
#40
EPA / play
1.25
#85
1.38
#11
Explosiveness
18%
#30
15%
#74
Havoc
Current key players
FloridaQBAaron Philo
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.170/729
LBKJ Ford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 96.1
- Coverage
- 44.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.112/1796
WRJustin Williams
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.49/2069
RBJadan Baugh
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.617/1044
WRVernell Brown III
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.814/2069
TEMicah Jones
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 68.8
- Run blocking
- 76.0
- Penalties
- 0
83.715/1017
Availability reports · 6
- Kelvin Jimenez · RBout · 2026-09-05
Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davian Groce · WRout · 2026-09-07
Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- V. Brown III · WRQues. · 2026-10-05
Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.
- Eric Singleton Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-09-28
Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.
- London Montgomery · RBprobable · 2026-10-09
Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.
- Bailey Stockton · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.
Florida StateQBAshton Daniels
1111 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
77.794/729
RBOusmane Kromah
477 yds · 5 TD · 5.9 YPC
87.322/1044
LBBlake Nichelson
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.1
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.3175/1796
DBAntonio Cromartie Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.0234/2969
LBKaron Maycock
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.4
- Coverage
- 64.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.4312/1796
WRJayvan Boggs
13 rec · 257 yds · 1 TD
71.1225/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Samuel Singleton Jr. · RBout · 2026-09-21
Singleton is managing a lower body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tae'Shaun Gelsey · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Gelsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Devin Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carter is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Gavin Markey · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Markey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FLAFlorida
FSUFlorida State
vs
Offense
80.1
#56 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.7
#71 of 138
85.5
#9 of 138
RB
Running backs
82.2
#22 of 138
84.5
#1 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.3
#102 of 138
83.7
#15 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.0
#112 of 138
73.7
#23 of 138
OL
Offensive line
66.4
#85 of 138
Defense
82.7
#5 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.7
#127 of 138
81.7
#12 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.0
#87 of 138
70.3
#91 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.8
#114 of 138