CFB
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ACC

Florida State

Seminoles3-38th in ACC
Doak Campbell Stadium · Tallahassee, FL · 67,277
TeamCarried by the offense
OffenseBig-play running attack · solid
DefenseBuilt to defend the pass · poorweak point: run defense, 112th

The season

Best win
W 38-7 vs #50 Virginia
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · won as a 49% underdog
Worst loss
L 24-27 vs #39 SMU
Wk 1 · Sep 7 · lost as a 70% favorite

Schedule

model 3/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Aug 29
    vsNew Mexico State
    W 34–17
    Win chance 99%Model margin +31.9Game details
  2. Week 1 · Sep 7
    vsSMU
    L 24–27
    Win chance 70%Model margin +7.1Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atAlabama
    L 36–50
    Win chance 14%Model margin -14.3Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsCentral Arkansas
    W 34–7
    Win chance >99%Model margin +53.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsVirginia
    W 38–7
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.5Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 9
    atLouisville
    L 20–44
    Win chance 51%Model margin +0.2Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atMiami
    Win chance 22%Model margin -10.5Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsClemson
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.8Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atBoston College
    Win chance 90%Model margin +17.3Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atPittsburgh
    Win chance 59%Model margin +2.9Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsNC State
    Win chance 84%Model margin +13.6Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsFlorida
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.0Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
74
#23 of 138
Defense efficiency
36
#89 of 138
Efficiency
#400.22
EPA / play
#1100.16
#720.22
Pass
#840.19
#80.28
Rush
#1120.15
#5745%
Success
#8842%
Big plays & havoc
#111.38
Explosive
#1061.31
#7415%
Havoc
#6816%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB71st
RB22nd
WR102nd
TE112th
OL85th
DL127th
LB87th
DB114th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Ashton DanielsSR
1111 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
77.7
94th QB
RB
Ousmane KromahSO
477 yds · 5 TD · 5.9 YPC
87.3
22nd RB
WR
Jayvan BoggsSO
13 rec · 257 yds · 1 TD
71.1
225th WR
WR
Duce RobinsonSR
15 rec · 280 yds · 2 TD
67.3
362nd WR
TE
Greyson LabiadSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
61.0
229th TE
Defense
LB
Blake NichelsonSR
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
75.3
175th LB
LB
Karon MaycockFR
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
71.4
312th LB
DB
Antonio Cromartie Jr.FR
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
74.0
234th DB
DB
Charles Lester IIISO
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
68.7
535th DB
DB
Quindarrius JonesSR
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
68.2
573rd DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Samuel Singleton Jr.RB

Singleton is managing a lower body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

66.709-21
Ques.
Tae'Shaun GelseyWR

Gelsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.

60.310-10
Ques.
Devin CarterWR

Carter is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-10
Ques.
Gavin MarkeyRB

Markey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-10

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atMiami
    Playoff chance if win
    18.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    4.4%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsClemson
    Playoff chance if win
    10.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.2%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atBoston College
    Playoff chance if win
    9.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.8%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atPittsburgh
    Playoff chance if win
    11.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.1%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsNC State
    Playoff chance if win
    9.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.0%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsFlorida
    Playoff chance if win
    10.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.9%

Past seasons

Year by year
-5.8 points since 2022
405365789073.8202280.0202357.7202468.02025
2022 73.82023 80.02024 57.72025 68.0

2025

5-7
D-I rank
#40
Rating
68.0
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLLWLWLL
396 pts scored264 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs AlabamaW 31–17
  2. W2 vs East Texas A&MW 77–3
  3. W4 vs Kent StateW 66–10
  4. W5 at VirginiaL 38–46
  5. W6 vs MiamiL 22–28
  6. W7 vs PittsburghL 31–34
  7. W8 at StanfordL 13–20
  8. W10 vs Wake ForestW 42–7
  9. W11 at ClemsonL 10–24
  10. W12 vs Virginia TechW 34–14
  11. W13 at NC StateL 11–21
  12. W14 at FloridaL 21–40

2024

2-10
D-I rank
#84
Rating
57.7
Listed games · 12
LLLWLLLLLLWL
185 pts scored336 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Georgia TechL 21–24
  2. W1 vs Boston CollegeL 13–28
  3. W3 vs MemphisL 12–20
  4. W4 vs CaliforniaW 14–9
  5. W5 at SMUL 16–42
  6. W6 vs ClemsonL 13–29
  7. W8 at DukeL 16–23
  8. W9 at MiamiL 14–36
  9. W10 vs North CarolinaL 11–35
  10. W11 at Notre DameL 3–52
  11. W13 vs Charleston SouthernW 41–7
  12. W14 vs FloridaL 11–31

2023

13-0
D-I rank
#8
Rating
80.0
Listed games · 13
WWWWWWWWWWWWW
481 pts scored207 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs LSUW 45–24
  2. W2 vs Southern MissW 66–13
  3. W3 at Boston CollegeW 31–29
  4. W4 at ClemsonW 31–24
  5. W6 vs Virginia TechW 39–17
  6. W7 vs SyracuseW 41–3
  7. W8 vs DukeW 38–20
  8. W9 at Wake ForestW 41–16
  9. W10 at PittsburghW 24–7
  10. W11 vs MiamiW 27–20
  11. W12 vs North AlabamaW 58–13
  12. W13 at FloridaW 24–15
  13. W14 vs LouisvilleW 16–6

2022

9-3
D-I rank
#13
Rating
73.8
Listed games · 12
WWWWLLLWWWWW
434 pts scored236 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs DuquesneW 47–7
  2. W1 vs LSUW 24–23
  3. W3 at LouisvilleW 35–31
  4. W4 vs Boston CollegeW 44–14
  5. W5 vs Wake ForestL 21–31
  6. W6 at NC StateL 17–19
  7. W7 vs ClemsonL 28–34
  8. W9 vs Georgia TechW 41–16
  9. W10 at MiamiW 45–3
  10. W11 at SyracuseW 38–3
  11. W12 vs LouisianaW 49–17
  12. W13 vs FloridaW 45–38