AVRCFB Model
All rankings
ACC

Florida State

Seminoles0-05th in ACC
Doak Campbell Stadium · Tallahassee, FL · 67,277
Rank —
30
Rating
62.6
TeamAverage roster
OffenseLoaded at the skill spots
DefenseUnproven

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#130New Mexico State
100%
Aug 2947-7p›
1
vs#18SMU
43%
Sep 726-28p›
3
at#12Alabama
23%
Sep 1924-34p›
4
vsCentral Arkansas
100%
Sep 2649-10p›
5
vs#49Virginia
79%
Oct 336-25p›
6
at#28Louisville
50%
Oct 929-29p›
7
at#6MiamiFlorida State-Miami
23%
Oct 1723-33p›
9
vs#27Clemson
57%
Oct 3129-27p›
10
at#79Boston College
81%
Nov 736-24p›
11
at#33Pittsburgh
55%
Nov 1431-29p›
12
vs#34NC State
69%
Nov 2133-26p›
13
vs#25FloridaSunshine Showdown
54%
Nov 2728-27p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#7167
Talent
#6467
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB78th
RB35th
WR3rd
TE45th
OL74th
DL54th
LB22nd
DB64th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 60.02 top-252025 ratings
X87.7
D. Robinson
WR · SR4th
LT68.0
X. Chaplin
OL · SR77th
LG33.1
N. Pabst
OL · SR209th
C24.0
B. Welch-Joiner
OL · JR253rd
RG—
A. Otto
OL · JR
RT—
P. Bowling
OL · SO
TE59.4
L. Thomas
TE · JR57th
SL56.1
T. Mallory
WR · FR155th
Z86.9
M. Danzy
WR · SO8th
QB56.1
K. Sperry
QB · FR87th
RB68.8
Q. Wisner
RB · SR62nd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Kevin SperryFR
56.1
87th QB
RB
Quintrevion WisnerSR
68.8
62nd RB
WR
Duce RobinsonSR
87.7
4th WR
WR
Micahi DanzySO
86.9
8th WR
TE
Landen ThomasJR
59.4
57th TE
Defense
LB
Blake NichelsonSR
79.5
60th LB
LB
Chris JonesJR
73.9
113th LB
DB
Nehemiah ChandlerSO
73.6
168th DB
DB
Ashlynd BarkerSR
71.8
195th DB
DB
Ja'Bril RawlsJR
69.2
257th DB

Injury report

8 out · 5 starters
out
Daniel Lyonsstarter
08-02
out
Malachi MarshallQB
08-05
out
DB Transfer
08-12
out
Karson Hobbs
08-20
out
Devin CarterWR
08-25
out
FSU freshman wide receiverWR
08-25
out
Mike NorvellWR
08-27
out
Dexter Carter Speaks
08-29
doubtful
FSU WRWR
08-26
questionable
O. KromahRB
08-11
questionable
S. Singleton Jr.RB
08-11
questionable
unknownRB
08-17
probable
Daniel HughesPstarter
08-15
probable
Caleb LaValleeLB
08-18
probable
Jayvan BoggsWRstarter
08-20
probable
Mikai GbayorLBstarter
08-20
probable
Quintrevion WisnerRBstarter
08-24

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

1%–15% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W7
at#6Miami
3% lose15% win
±3.0
likely move
in odds
25% to win
W6
at#28Louisville
2% lose10% win
±2.9
likely move
in odds
51% to win
W1
vs#18SMU
2% lose10% win
±2.8
likely move
in odds
43% to win
W9
vs#27Clemson
1% lose9% win
±2.8
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W11
at#33Pittsburgh
2% lose9% win
±2.4
likely move
in odds
54% to win
W12
vs#34NC State
2% lose8% win
±2.0
likely move
in odds
68% to win
W5
vs#49Virginia
1% lose7% win
±1.8
likely move
in odds
77% to win
W10
at#79Boston College
1% lose7% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
79% to win