Passing
No comparison
- CARK offense
- —
- FSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
—
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CARK 0.1%99.9% FSU
- Projected margin
- FSU by 53.1
- Projected total
- 67
- 80% outcome range
- FSU 32 to FSU 73
- Win probability
- FSU 99.9%
FinalCARK 7 · FSU 34model had +53.1, off by 26.1
Current team profiles
Central Arkansas
Florida StateWhen Central Arkansas has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- CARK offense
- —
- FSU defense
- #112
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- CARK offense
- #28
- FSU defense
- #88
Success rates
46%
#28
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#96
0.16
#110
EPA / play
0.22
#39
1.31
#106
Explosiveness
—
16%
#68
Havoc
When Florida State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- CARK defense
- —
- FSU offense
- #72
EPA comparison
—
0.22
#72
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- CARK defense
- —
- FSU offense
- #8
EPA comparison
—
0.28
#8
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- CARK defense
- #51
- FSU offense
- #57
Success rates
43%
#51
45%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#72
0.22
#40
EPA / play
0.21
#77
1.38
#11
Explosiveness
—
15%
#74
Havoc
Current key players
Central ArkansasDLTrevion Traylor
19 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.3
- Pressures
- 14
- Pass-rush snaps
- 127
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.119/1549
OLJoey Su'a
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.7
- Run blocking
- 79.2
- Penalties
- 0
80.511/1368
RBEnoch Assan
64 yds · 1 TD · 21.3 YPC
79.740/631
TEQue Tillman
10 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 car
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.1
- Run blocking
- 64.9
- Penalties
- 0
75.916/526
OLSenon Chapple
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 76.2
- Run blocking
- 71.2
- Penalties
- 1
73.856/1368
DLJakobe Shell
17 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.1
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 87
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.6162/1549
Florida StateQBAshton Daniels
1111 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
77.794/729
RBOusmane Kromah
477 yds · 5 TD · 5.9 YPC
87.322/1044
LBBlake Nichelson
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.1
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.3175/1796
DBAntonio Cromartie Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.0234/2969
LBKaron Maycock
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.4
- Coverage
- 64.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.4312/1796
WRJayvan Boggs
13 rec · 257 yds · 1 TD
71.1225/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Samuel Singleton Jr. · RBout · 2026-09-21
Singleton is managing a lower body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tae'Shaun Gelsey · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Gelsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Devin Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carter is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Gavin Markey · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Markey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CARKCentral Arkansas
FSUFlorida State
vs
Offense
68.8
#76 of 125
QB
Quarterback
77.7
#71 of 138
75.5
#37 of 126
RB
Running backs
82.2
#22 of 138
63.9
#111 of 126
WR
Receivers
68.3
#102 of 138
75.9
#15 of 124
TE
Tight ends
61.0
#112 of 138
72.5
#12 of 125
OL
Offensive line
66.4
#85 of 138
Defense
74.8
#27 of 126
DL
Defensive line
67.7
#127 of 138
65.0
#113 of 126
LB
Linebackers
72.0
#87 of 138
64.9
#123 of 126
DB
Secondary
68.8
#114 of 138