AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 4:00 AM
Away
Central Arkansas
—
10p
#30Home
Florida State
0-0 · AVR 62.6
49p
CARK 0%100% FSU
Spread
FSU -38.0
Total
59
Moneyline
CARK—FSU—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Florida State
WRDuce Robinson
87.74/777
WRMicahi Danzy
86.98/777
LBBlake Nichelson
79.560/878
LBChris Jones
73.9113/878
DBNehemiah Chandler
73.6168/1427
DBAshlynd Barker
71.8195/1427

also out — Daniel Lyons, Malachi Marshall (QB), DB Transfer, Karson Hobbs, Devin Carter (WR), FSU freshman wide receiver (WR), Mike Norvell (WR), Dexter Carter Speaks +1 more

Projected margin

80% between 21 and 55
-7-3+3+7+14PKFSU +38.095% interval: 15 to 6180% interval: 21.3 to 54.7+21+55CARK wins 0%FSU wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ FSU 46–11 CARKFSU 42–35 CARK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 46–32 CARK neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesFSU 49–28 CARK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesFSU 53–25 CARK neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesFSU 56–21 CARK neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesFSU 60–18 CARK neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesFSU 63–14 CARK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesFSU 67–11 CARK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesFSU 70–7 CARK neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesFSU 39–32 CARK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 42–28 CARK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesFSU 46–25 CARK neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesFSU 49–21 CARK neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesFSU 53–18 CARK neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesFSU 56–14 CARK neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesFSU 60–11 CARK neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesFSU 63–7 CARK neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesFSU 67–4 CARK neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesFSU 35–28 CARK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 39–25 CARK neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesFSU 42–21 CARK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesFSU 46–18 CARK neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesFSU 49–14 CARK neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesFSU 53–11 CARK neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesFSU 56–7 CARK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesFSU 60–4 CARK neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesFSU 63–0 CARK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesFSU 32–25 CARK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesFSU 35–21 CARK neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesFSU 39–18 CARK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesFSU 42–14 CARK neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesFSU 46–11 CARK neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesFSU 49–7 CARK neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesFSU 53–4 CARK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesFSU 56–0 CARK neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)FSU 28–21 CARK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 32–18 CARK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesFSU 35–14 CARK neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesFSU 39–11 CARK neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesFSU 42–7 CARK neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesFSU 46–4 CARK neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesFSU 49–0 CARK neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)FSU 25–18 CARK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 28–14 CARK neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesFSU 32–11 CARK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesFSU 35–7 CARK neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesFSU 39–4 CARK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesFSU 42–0 CARK neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)FSU 21–14 CARK neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesFSU 25–11 CARK neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesFSU 28–7 CARK neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesFSU 32–4 CARK neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesFSU 35–0 CARK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalFSU +7FSU +21FSU +35FSU +49FSU +63margin →