AVRCFB Model
All rankings
ACC

Miami

Hurricanes0-01st in ACC
Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL · 64,767
Rank —
6
Rating
77.0
TeamBlue-chip roster
OffenseQuarterback-driven, loaded at the skill spots, veteran line
DefenseStrong front seven, experienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
at#96Stanford
86%
Sep 432-17p›
2
vsFlorida A&M
100%
Sep 1154-8p›
3
at#46Wake Forest
84%
Sep 1833-20p›
4
vs#107Central Michigan
99%
Sep 2642-10p›
5
at#27Clemson
64%
Oct 329-24p›
7
vs#30Florida StateFlorida State-Miami
77%
Oct 1733-23p›
8
vs#33Pittsburgh
85%
Oct 2435-21p›
9
at#61North Carolina
87%
Oct 3133-18p›
10
at#4Notre Dame
27%
Nov 824-32p›
11
vs#39Duke
89%
Nov 1436-20p›
12
vs#57Virginia Tech
93%
Nov 2137-17p›
13
vs#79Boston College
96%
Nov 2840-16p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#484
Talent
#284
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB11th
RB7th
WR4th
TE13th
OL6th
DL1st
LB15th
DB11th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 80.27 top-252025 ratings
X87.0
C. Barkate
WR · SR6th
LT87.5
S. Okunlola
OL · JR16th
LG86.7
R. Rodriguez
OL · SR22nd
C—
J. Cantwell
OL · FR
RG—
M. McCoy
OL · SR
RT—
M. Buchanan
OL · SO
TE69.0
E. Lofton
TE · JR13th
SL63.7
V. Jacobs
WR · JR91st
Z79.1
M. Toney
WR · SO23rd
QB84.3
D. Mensah
QB · JR11th
RB84.5
M. Fletcher
RB · SR9th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Darian MensahJR
84.3
11th QB
RB
Mark Fletcher Jr.SR
84.5
9th RB
WR
Cooper BarkateSR
87.0
6th WR
WR
Malachi ToneySO
79.1
23rd WR
TE
Elija LoftonJR
69.0
13th TE
Defense
LB
Kamal BonnerJR
82.9
35th LB
LB
Mohamed ToureSR
81.3
46th LB
DB
Xavier LucasJR
85.4
42nd DB
DB
Bryce FitzgeraldSO
83.5
61st DB
DB
Ethan O'ConnorJR
78.2
113th DB

Injury report

3 out
out
Hayden Lowe
08-04
out
Luka Gilbert
08-04
out
Jontavius Wyman
08-05
probable
Bell
08-17
probable
Chris BellWR
08-17
probable
Brenden Rice
08-19
probable
Demarcus DerocheTE
08-26

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

32%–75% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W5
at#27Clemson
43% lose72% win
±7.7
likely move
in odds
63% to win
W7
vs#30Florida State
39% lose68% win
±5.6
likely move
in odds
75% to win
W8
vs#33Pittsburgh
35% lose66% win
±4.8
likely move
in odds
83% to win
W3
at#46Wake Forest
37% lose66% win
±4.6
likely move
in odds
82% to win
W1
at#96Stanford
36% lose66% win
±4.2
likely move
in odds
84% to win
W9
at#61North Carolina
37% lose65% win
±3.6
likely move
in odds
85% to win
W11
vs#39Duke
35% lose65% win
±3.4
likely move
in odds
87% to win
W10
at#4Notre Dame
56% lose75% win
±2.6
likely move
in odds
29% to win