AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Fri Sep 11
Away
Florida A&M
—
8p
#6Home
Miami
0-0 · AVR 77.0
54p
FAMU 0%100% MIA
Spread
MIA -45.5
Total
62
Moneyline
FAMU—MIA—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Miami
WRCooper Barkate
87.06/777
DBXavier Lucas
85.442/1427
RBMark Fletcher Jr.
84.59/514
QBDarian Mensah
84.311/308
DBBryce Fitzgerald
83.561/1427
LBKamal Bonner
82.935/878

also out — Hayden Lowe, Luka Gilbert, Jontavius Wyman

Projected margin

80% between 29 and 62
-3+3+7+14PKMIA +45.595% interval: 22.6 to 68.580% interval: 28.8 to 62.3+29+62FAMU wins 0%MIA wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ MIA 53–11 FAMUMIA 53–32 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMIA 56–28 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesMIA 60–25 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMIA 63–21 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMIA 67–18 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMIA 70–14 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMIA 74–11 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesMIA 77–7 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMIA 81–4 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMIA 49–28 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMIA 53–25 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMIA 56–21 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMIA 60–18 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesMIA 63–14 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesMIA 67–11 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMIA 70–7 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMIA 74–4 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMIA 77–0 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMIA 46–25 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesMIA 49–21 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMIA 53–18 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMIA 56–14 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesMIA 60–11 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesMIA 63–7 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMIA 67–4 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMIA 70–0 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)MIA 42–21 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMIA 46–18 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesMIA 49–14 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesMIA 53–11 FAMU neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesMIA 56–7 FAMU neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesMIA 60–4 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesMIA 63–0 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)MIA 39–18 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMIA 42–14 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMIA 46–11 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesMIA 49–7 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesMIA 53–4 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesMIA 56–0 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)MIA 35–14 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesMIA 39–11 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMIA 42–7 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMIA 46–4 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesMIA 49–0 FAMU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)MIA 32–11 FAMU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMIA 35–7 FAMU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMIA 39–4 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMIA 42–0 FAMU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalMIA +21MIA +35MIA +49MIA +63MIA +77margin →