CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Thu Sep 10 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FAMU 0.1%99.9% MIA
Projected margin
MIA by 70.2
Projected total
80
80% outcome range
MIA 48 to MIA 92
Win probability
MIA 99.9%
FinalFAMU 7 · MIA 77model had +70.2, off by 0.2

Current team profiles

Florida A&M
Miami

When Florida A&M has the ball

Passing

No comparison
FAMU offense
—
MIA defense
#30
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#30
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
FAMU offense
—
MIA defense
#10
EPA comparison
—
-0.15
#10
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
FAMU offense
#119
MIA defense
#16
Success rates
38%
#119
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#114
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
0.18
#104
1.19
#53
Explosiveness
—
16%
#70
Havoc

When Miami has the ball

Passing

No comparison
FAMU defense
—
MIA offense
#1
EPA comparison
—
0.74
#1
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
FAMU defense
—
MIA offense
#51
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
FAMU defense
#102
MIA offense
#1
Success rates
47%
#102
56%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#89
0.42
#1
EPA / play
0.22
#98
1.26
#55
Explosiveness
—
8%
#3
Havoc

Current key players

Florida A&M
DLRoderick Ambroise-McFadden
8 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.1
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.416/1549
DLCaden Brown
8 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
57
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.721/1549
DLAdeon Farmer
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.5
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
45
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
81.229/1549
WRJaquan Lee
6 rec · 25 yds · 1 TD
73.490/1229
KVinh Quain
0 punts · 0.0 avg
72.761/416
OLTommy Bridgewater Jr
Player detail
Pass blocking
84.9
Run blocking
65.2
Penalties
0
71.2103/1368
Miami
QBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
80.9
Penalties
0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
59.2
Coverage
86.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
40.3
Missed tackles
4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.5
Coverage
80.3
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
75
Passer rating allowed
68.5
Missed tackles
2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21

    Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.

  • Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11

    Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season

  • Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27

    Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FAMU
MIA
vs
Offense
60.1
#110 of 125
QB
92.8
#2 of 138
61.7
#121 of 126
RB
83.8
#16 of 138
70.6
#48 of 126
WR
80.8
#8 of 138
63.1
#72 of 124
TE
84.0
#14 of 138
58.0
#118 of 125
OL
77.6
#7 of 138
Defense
78.5
#8 of 126
DL
72.6
#76 of 138
60.9
#121 of 126
LB
71.0
#97 of 138
67.5
#113 of 126
DB
77.2
#14 of 138
Common opponents