Passing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #1
- UNC defense
- #32
EPA comparison
0.74
#1
0.03
#32
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MIA 88.7%11.3% UNC
- Projected margin
- MIA by 19.1
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- MIA 38 to MIA 1
- Win probability
- MIA 88.7%
Current team profiles
Miami
North CarolinaWhen Miami has the ball
Rushing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #51
- UNC defense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.08
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #1
- UNC defense
- #100
Success rates
56%
#1
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.42
#1
0.01
#47
EPA / play
1.26
#55
0.99
#4
Explosiveness
8%
#3
13%
#119
Havoc
When North Carolina has the ball
Passing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #30
- UNC offense
- #78
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.19
#78
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #10
- UNC offense
- #93
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #16
- UNC offense
- #64
Success rates
34%
#16
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
0.10
#91
EPA / play
1.19
#53
1.13
#117
Explosiveness
16%
#70
16%
#104
Havoc
Current key players
MiamiQBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 80.9
- Penalties
- 0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.2
- Coverage
- 86.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
- CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21
Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21
Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01
Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.
- Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11
Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27
Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th
North CarolinaQBMiles O'Neill
22 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
71.8141/729
DBGreg Smith
21 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 89.6
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
86.619/2969
DBJalon Thompson
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.7
- Coverage
- 79.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 3
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.259/2969
WRZamaurious Robertson
1 rec · 4 yds · 0 TD
78.270/2069
DBAde Willie
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 78.6
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.095/2969
WRJordan Shipp
20 rec · 273 yds · 0 TD
77.877/2069
Availability reports · 5
- Jaxxon Warren · TEout · 2026-08-21
Warren is managing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jordan Washington · TEout · 2026-10-10
Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jaylen Harvey · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Duke on Saturday, October 17th.
- Carnell Warren · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carnell is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Duke on Saturday, October 17th.
- Keeyun Chapman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Chapman is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face against Duke on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MIAMiami
UNCNorth Carolina
vs
Offense
92.8
#2 of 138
QB
Quarterback
71.8
#96 of 138
83.8
#16 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.5
#131 of 138
80.8
#8 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#62 of 138
84.0
#14 of 138
TE
Tight ends
77.2
#33 of 138
77.6
#7 of 138
OL
Offensive line
66.5
#84 of 138
Defense
72.6
#76 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.8
#55 of 138
71.0
#97 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.9
#89 of 138
77.2
#14 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.4
#12 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Miami
opponent
North Carolina
Aaway+28.0
CLEMClemson#57-8.0Aaway
Hhome+13.6
DUKEDuke#34-13.5Aaway
Hhome+16.1
PITTPittsburgh#30+4.0Aaway
Aaway-5.6
NDNotre Dame#1-11.0Hhome