Passing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #1
- STAN defense
- #136
EPA comparison
0.74
#1
0.47
#136
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Fri Sep 4 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MIA 89.8%10.2% STAN
- Projected margin
- MIA by 20.3
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- MIA 41 to STAN 0
- Win probability
- MIA 89.8%
FinalMIA 45 · STAN 6model had -20.3, off by 18.7
Current team profiles
Miami
StanfordWhen Miami has the ball
Rushing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #51
- STAN defense
- #138
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.32
#138
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #1
- STAN defense
- #133
Success rates
56%
#1
50%
#133
Success rate
More metrics
0.42
#1
0.37
#138
EPA / play
1.26
#55
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
8%
#3
11%
#131
Havoc
When Stanford has the ball
Passing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #30
- STAN offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #10
- STAN offense
- #126
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
-0.08
#126
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #16
- STAN offense
- #126
Success rates
34%
#16
37%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
0.04
#111
EPA / play
1.19
#53
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
16%
#70
14%
#60
Havoc
Current key players
MiamiQBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 80.9
- Penalties
- 0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.2
- Coverage
- 86.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
- CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21
Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21
Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01
Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.
- Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11
Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27
Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th
StanfordQBDavis Warren
1207 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
70.0153/729
WRNico Brown
10 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
79.363/2069
RBTuna Altahir
8 yds · 0 TD · 4.0 YPC
75.3173/1044
LBGabe Kaminski
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Coverage
- 70.9
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 61
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.2253/1796
CBBrandon Nicholson
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.2
- Coverage
- 74.5
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 57
- Passer rating allowed
- 52.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
72.6298/2969
WRCaden High
17 rec · 236 yds · 3 TD
72.3187/2069
Availability reports · 5
- Niki Prongos · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Prongos is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aidan Kilstrom · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Kilstrom is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- Carter Shaw · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylen Sharper · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Sharper is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- London Bironas · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MIAMiami
STANStanford
vs
Offense
92.8
#2 of 138
QB
Quarterback
70.0
#100 of 138
83.8
#16 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.3
#92 of 138
80.8
#8 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.2
#56 of 138
84.0
#14 of 138
TE
Tight ends
57.5
#133 of 138
77.6
#7 of 138
OL
Offensive line
67.0
#79 of 138
Defense
72.6
#76 of 138
DL
Defensive line
65.3
#134 of 138
71.0
#97 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.4
#119 of 138
77.2
#14 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.3
#116 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Miami
opponent
Stanford
Aaway+13.0
WAKEWake Forest#26-54.0Aaway
Aaway-5.6
NDNotre Dame#1-51.0Aaway
Hhome+13.6
DUKEDuke#34-28.0Aaway
Hhome+22.1
VTVirginia Tech#46-10.9Aaway