Passing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #130
- MIA defense
- #30
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.02
#30
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 6:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CMU 0.1%99.9% MIA
- Projected margin
- MIA by 37.8
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- MIA 19 to MIA 55
- Win probability
- MIA 99.9%
FinalCMU 3 · MIA 52model had +37.8, off by 11.2
Current team profiles
Central MichiganMiamiWhen Central Michigan has the ball
Rushing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #45
- MIA defense
- #10
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
-0.15
#10
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #119
- MIA defense
- #16
Success rates
38%
#119
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#103
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.19
#53
Explosiveness
14%
#50
16%
#70
Havoc
When Miami has the ball
Passing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #71
- MIA offense
- #1
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.74
#1
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #107
- MIA offense
- #51
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.15
#51
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #126
- MIA offense
- #1
Success rates
47%
#126
56%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#108
0.42
#1
EPA / play
1.11
#24
1.26
#55
Explosiveness
15%
#90
8%
#3
Havoc
Current key players
Central MichiganQBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.2
- Coverage
- 88.0
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 46.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.6
- Coverage
- 89.0
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 27
- Passer rating allowed
- 11.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.2
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 27.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 51.1
- Run blocking
- 70.6
- Penalties
- 0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15
VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10
VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17
MiamiQBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 80.9
- Penalties
- 0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.2
- Coverage
- 86.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
- CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21
Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21
Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01
Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.
- Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11
Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27
Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CMUCentral Michigan
MIAMiami
vs
Offense
76.4
#76 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.8
#2 of 138
73.2
#94 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.8
#16 of 138
64.3
#133 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.8
#8 of 138
71.7
#53 of 138
TE
Tight ends
84.0
#14 of 138
65.5
#92 of 138
OL
Offensive line
77.6
#7 of 138
Defense
70.5
#99 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.6
#76 of 138
67.5
#123 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.0
#97 of 138
78.4
#8 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.2
#14 of 138