CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MIA 84.2%15.8% CLEM
Projected margin
MIA by 15.1
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
MIA 34 to CLEM 4
Win probability
MIA 84.2%
FinalMIA 41 · CLEM 13model had -15.1, off by 12.9

Current team profiles

Miami
Clemson

When Miami has the ball

Passing

MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
MIA offense
#1
CLEM defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.74
#1
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
MIA offense
#51
CLEM defense
#128
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.21
#128
Rush EPA

Drive success

MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
MIA offense
#1
CLEM defense
#98
Success rates
56%
#1
43%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
0.42
#1
0.07
#74
EPA / play
1.26
#55
1.18
#51
Explosiveness
8%
#3
16%
#74
Havoc

When Clemson has the ball

Passing

MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
MIA defense
#30
CLEM offense
#123
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.00
#123
Pass EPA

Rushing

MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
MIA defense
#10
CLEM offense
#88
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
0.06
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
MIA defense
#16
CLEM offense
#129
Success rates
34%
#16
36%
#129
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
-0.04
#128
EPA / play
1.19
#53
1.21
#88
Explosiveness
16%
#70
18%
#124
Havoc

Current key players

Miami
QBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
80.9
Penalties
0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
59.2
Coverage
86.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
40.3
Missed tackles
4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.5
Coverage
80.3
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
75
Passer rating allowed
68.5
Missed tackles
2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21

    Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.

  • Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11

    Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season

  • Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27

    Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th

Clemson
QBTrent Pearman
— yds · — TD · — INT
69.2168/729
LBC.J. Kubah-Taylor
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Coverage
73.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1118/1796
CBAshton Hampton
13 tkl · 9 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.3
Coverage
81.5
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
167
Passer rating allowed
54.8
Missed tackles
6
77.3113/2969
RBDavid Eziomume
11 yds · 1 TD · 11.0 YPC
75.5166/1044
CBBranden Strozier
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
69.4
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
30
Passer rating allowed
138.9
Missed tackles
0
70.7400/2969
CBElliot Washington II
19 tkl · 4 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
166
Passer rating allowed
70.8
Missed tackles
5
69.5472/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • David Eziomume · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Eziomume is liad up with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Corian Gipson · CBout · 2026-09-25

    Gipson is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against California on Friday, September 25th.

  • Peyton Streko · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Streko has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Cole Turner · WRout · 2026-08-21

    Turner is dealing with some personal reasons, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • Keil McGriff · WRout · 2026-09-17

    McGriff is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against North Carolina on Saturday.

  • Jay Haynes · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Haynes is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against Miami on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Christopher Vizzina · QBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Vizzina is dealing with an elbow injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hurricanes on Saturday, October 3rd.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MIA
CLEM
vs
Offense
92.8
#2 of 138
QB
69.2
#105 of 138
83.8
#16 of 138
RB
72.9
#98 of 138
80.8
#8 of 138
WR
66.1
#127 of 138
84.0
#14 of 138
TE
61.4
#108 of 138
77.6
#7 of 138
OL
63.3
#112 of 138
Defense
72.6
#76 of 138
DL
73.1
#69 of 138
71.0
#97 of 138
LB
70.5
#100 of 138
77.2
#14 of 138
DB
70.9
#85 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Miami
opponent
Clemson
H+13.6
DUKE#34
-7.8A
H+10.5
FSU#49
-10.8A
H+22.1
VT#46
+6.0H
A+19.1
UNC#60
+8.0H