CFB
Model
All rankings
ACC

Virginia Tech

Hokies4-27th in ACC
Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA · 65,632
TeamWell-rounded
OffensePassing attack · solidweak point: run game, 85th
DefenseHavoc-driven · solid · stout against the runweak point: big plays allowed, 113th

The season

Best win
W 35-26 @ #72 Maryland
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · won as a 41% underdog
Worst loss
L 20-25 @ #90 California
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · lost as a 67% favorite

Schedule

model 4/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsVMI
    W 73–3
    Win chance >99%Model margin +47.4Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsOld Dominion
    W 44–21
    Win chance 88%Model margin +16.1Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atMaryland
    W 35–26
    Win chance 41%Model margin -3.0Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atBoston College
    W 21–14
    Win chance 87%Model margin +15.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 2
    vsPittsburgh
    L 33–35
    Win chance 33%Model margin -5.8Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atCalifornia
    L 20–25
    Win chance 67%Model margin +5.9Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsGeorgia Tech
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.1Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atClemson
    Win chance 33%Model margin -6.0Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atSMU
    Win chance 15%Model margin -13.8Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsStanford
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.9Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atMiami
    Win chance 5%Model margin -22.1Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsVirginia
    Win chance 47%Model margin -1.0Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
68
#35 of 138
Defense efficiency
85
#14 of 138
Efficiency
#440.21
EPA / play
#470.01
#240.40
Pass
#840.19
#850.07
Rush
#16-0.11
#4347%
Success
#1534%
Big plays & havoc
#451.26
Explosive
#1131.34
#3113%
Havoc
#224%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB35th
RB58th
WR125th
TE9th
OL34th
DL7th
LB11th
DB77th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Bryce BakerFR
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.6
38th QB
RB
Jeffrey Overton Jr.FR
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9
113th RB
WR
Que'Sean BrownJR
33 rec · 371 yds · 2 TD
73.7
154th WR
WR
Ayden GreeneSR
12 rec · 213 yds · 1 TD
64.6
484th WR
TE
Luke ReynoldsJR
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
86.4
9th TE
Defense
LB
George BallanceJR
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
85.2
37th LB
LB
Mathieu LamahFR
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
84.6
45th LB
DB
DQ SmithSR
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
78.1
93rd DB
S
Sherrod Covil Jr.SR
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
73.7
244th DB
CB
Thomas WilliamsJR
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
69.1
504th DB

Injury report

6 listed
Ques.
Kyle AltunerOG

Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

66.910-11
Ques.
Brody MeadowsOG

Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

66.610-11
Ques.
Bill DavisRB

Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

77.9202510-11
Ques.
Luke StueweWR

Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11
Ques.
Shamarius PeterkinWR

Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

54.1202510-11
Ques.
Takye HeathWR

Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

60.4202510-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsGeorgia Tech
    Playoff chance if win
    0.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.0%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atClemson
    Playoff chance if win
    0.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atSMU
    Playoff chance if win
    1.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.0%
  4. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atMiami
    Playoff chance if win
    2.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  5. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsVirginia
    Playoff chance if win
    0.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%

Past seasons

Year by year
+1.2 points since 2022
405365789056.0202263.3202373.4202457.12025
2022 56.02023 63.32024 73.42025 57.1

2025

3-9
D-I rank
#81
Rating
57.1
Listed games · 12
LLLWWLLWLLLL
257 pts scored362 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs South CarolinaL 11–24
  2. W2 vs VanderbiltL 20–44
  3. W3 vs Old DominionL 26–45
  4. W4 vs WoffordW 38–6
  5. W5 at NC StateW 23–21
  6. W6 vs Wake ForestL 23–30
  7. W7 at Georgia TechL 20–35
  8. W9 vs CaliforniaW 42–34
  9. W10 vs LouisvilleL 16–28
  10. W12 at Florida StateL 14–34
  11. W13 vs MiamiL 17–34
  12. W14 at VirginiaL 7–27

2024

6-6
D-I rank
#18
Rating
73.4
Listed games · 12
LWWLLWWWLLLW
356 pts scored273 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at VanderbiltL 27–34
  2. W2 vs MarshallW 31–14
  3. W3 at Old DominionW 37–17
  4. W4 vs RutgersL 23–26
  5. W5 at MiamiL 34–38
  6. W6 at StanfordW 31–7
  7. W8 vs Boston CollegeW 42–21
  8. W9 vs Georgia TechW 21–6
  9. W10 at SyracuseL 31–38
  10. W11 vs ClemsonL 14–24
  11. W13 at DukeL 28–31
  12. W14 vs VirginiaW 37–17

2023

6-6
D-I rank
#52
Rating
63.3
Listed games · 12
WLLLWLWWLWLW
343 pts scored291 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Old DominionW 36–17
  2. W2 vs PurdueL 17–24
  3. W3 at RutgersL 16–35
  4. W4 at MarshallL 17–24
  5. W5 vs PittsburghW 38–21
  6. W6 at Florida StateL 17–39
  7. W7 vs Wake ForestW 30–13
  8. W9 vs SyracuseW 38–10
  9. W10 at LouisvilleL 3–34
  10. W11 at Boston CollegeW 48–22
  11. W12 vs NC StateL 28–35
  12. W13 at VirginiaW 55–17

2022

3-8
D-I rank
#91
Rating
56.0
Listed games · 11
LWWLLLLLLLW
212 pts scored272 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Old DominionL 17–20
  2. W2 vs Boston CollegeW 27–10
  3. W3 vs WoffordW 27–7
  4. W4 vs West VirginiaL 10–33
  5. W5 at North CarolinaL 10–41
  6. W6 at PittsburghL 29–45
  7. W7 vs MiamiL 14–20
  8. W9 at NC StateL 21–22
  9. W10 vs Georgia TechL 27–28
  10. W11 at DukeL 7–24
  11. W12 at LibertyW 23–22