Passing
VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- VT offense
- #24
- MD defense
- #65
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.12
#65
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
VT 43.8%56.2% MD
- Projected margin
- MD by 3.0
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- VT 16 to MD 21
- Win probability
- MD 56.2%
FinalVT 35 · MD 26model had +3.0, off by 12.0
Current team profiles
Virginia Tech
MarylandWhen Virginia Tech has the ball
Rushing
MD defense
Higher-ranked profile
- VT offense
- #85
- MD defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- VT offense
- #43
- MD defense
- #86
Success rates
47%
#43
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#44
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.26
#45
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
13%
#31
16%
#74
Havoc
When Maryland has the ball
Passing
VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- VT defense
- #84
- MD offense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- VT defense
- #16
- MD offense
- #72
EPA comparison
-0.11
#16
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- VT defense
- #15
- MD offense
- #106
Success rates
34%
#15
40%
#106
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#47
0.03
#112
EPA / play
1.34
#113
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
24%
#2
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
Virginia TechQBBryce Baker
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.638/729
TELuke Reynolds
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.5
- Run blocking
- 66.8
- Penalties
- 0
86.49/1017
LBGeorge Ballance
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 88.5
- Coverage
- 63.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.237/1796
LBMathieu Lamah
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.1
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.645/1796
DBDQ Smith
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.6
- Coverage
- 76.5
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 100.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.193/2969
RBJeffrey Overton Jr.
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9113/1044
Availability reports · 6
- Kyle Altuner · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Brody Meadows · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bill Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Luke Stuewe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Shamarius Peterkin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Takye Heath · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
MarylandQBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.3
- Coverage
- 62.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 166
- Passer rating allowed
- 72.0
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.2
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13
Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
VTVirginia Tech
MDMaryland
vs
Offense
85.6
#35 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.8
#7 of 138
76.8
#58 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.1
#118 of 138
66.4
#125 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.8
#9 of 138
86.4
#9 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.1
#111 of 138
72.2
#34 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.8
#62 of 138
Defense
81.8
#7 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.5
#59 of 138
83.0
#11 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.5
#84 of 138
71.4
#77 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.5
#122 of 138