CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
VMI 0.1%99.9% VT
Projected margin
VT by 47.4
Projected total
61
80% outcome range
VT 27 to VT 68
Win probability
VT 99.9%
FinalVMI 3 · VT 73model had +47.4, off by 22.6

Current team profiles

VMI
Virginia Tech

When VMI has the ball

Passing

No comparison
VMI offense
—
VT defense
#84
EPA comparison
—
0.19
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
VMI offense
—
VT defense
#16
EPA comparison
—
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
VMI offense
#128
VT defense
#15
Success rates
34%
#128
34%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#127
0.01
#47
EPA / play
0.15
#128
1.34
#113
Explosiveness
—
24%
#2
Havoc

When Virginia Tech has the ball

Passing

No comparison
VMI defense
—
VT offense
#24
EPA comparison
—
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
VMI defense
—
VT offense
#85
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#85
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
VMI defense
#112
VT offense
#43
Success rates
48%
#112
47%
#43
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#117
0.21
#44
EPA / play
0.22
#96
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
—
13%
#31
Havoc

Current key players

VMI
DBLouis Parker
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.3
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
86.66/1765
DBAmari Harmon
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
74.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
73.0232/1765
DLJacob Moore
11 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
79
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.9180/1549
DBEJ Wilborne
31 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.0
Coverage
79.0
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
129
Passer rating allowed
74.7
Missed tackles
4
72.6244/1765
LBSteven Riveros
15 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.7
Coverage
66.1
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
52
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
71.9188/1054
DBTerry Dorsey
15 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.5
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
92
Passer rating allowed
77.6
Missed tackles
0
71.7297/1765
Virginia Tech
QBBryce Baker
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.638/729
TELuke Reynolds
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.5
Run blocking
66.8
Penalties
0
86.49/1017
LBGeorge Ballance
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.237/1796
LBMathieu Lamah
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.1
Coverage
61.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.645/1796
DBDQ Smith
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
100.0
Missed tackles
0
78.193/2969
RBJeffrey Overton Jr.
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9113/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Kyle Altuner · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Meadows · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bill Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Stuewe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shamarius Peterkin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Takye Heath · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

VMI
VT
vs
Offense
49.6
#123 of 125
QB
85.6
#35 of 138
58.3
#126 of 126
RB
76.8
#58 of 138
64.2
#108 of 126
WR
66.4
#125 of 138
65.4
#61 of 124
TE
86.4
#9 of 138
58.5
#117 of 125
OL
72.2
#34 of 138
Defense
65.8
#114 of 126
DL
81.8
#7 of 138
70.2
#76 of 126
LB
83.0
#11 of 138
74.9
#21 of 126
DB
71.4
#77 of 138
Common opponents