CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Fri Nov 6 · 7:00 PM ET
#46Away
Virginia Tech
4-2 · AVR 64.0
24p
#39Home
SMU
4-1 · AVR 66.1
38p
Forecast win probability
VT 19.2%80.8% SMU
Projected margin
SMU by 13.8
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
VT 5 to SMU 32
Win probability
SMU 80.8%

Current team profiles

Virginia Tech
SMU

When Virginia Tech has the ball

Passing

VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
VT offense
#24
SMU defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

SMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT offense
#85
SMU defense
#81
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
0.06
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

SMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT offense
#43
SMU defense
#37
Success rates
47%
#43
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#44
0.04
#58
EPA / play
1.26
#45
1.38
#124
Explosiveness
13%
#31
22%
#5
Havoc

When SMU has the ball

Passing

SMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
VT defense
#84
SMU offense
#10
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.51
#10
Pass EPA

Rushing

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT defense
#16
SMU offense
#116
EPA comparison
-0.11
#16
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT defense
#15
SMU offense
#26
Success rates
34%
#15
49%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#47
0.22
#41
EPA / play
1.34
#113
1.27
#44
Explosiveness
24%
#2
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Virginia Tech
QBBryce Baker
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.638/729
TELuke Reynolds
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.5
Run blocking
66.8
Penalties
0
86.49/1017
LBGeorge Ballance
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.237/1796
LBMathieu Lamah
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.1
Coverage
61.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.645/1796
DBDQ Smith
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
100.0
Missed tackles
0
78.193/2969
RBJeffrey Overton Jr.
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9113/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Kyle Altuner · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Meadows · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bill Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Stuewe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shamarius Peterkin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Takye Heath · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

SMU
QBTy Hawkins
104 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
90.124/729
SJarvis Lee
22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
90.9
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
139
Passer rating allowed
75.7
Missed tackles
2
87.318/2969
SJaylen Moses
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
50.1
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
86.520/2969
TEZack Turner
3 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
68.5
Run blocking
55.8
Penalties
0
78.631/1017
LBAlexander Kilgore
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.8
Coverage
69.8
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.3113/1796
LBJamal Anderson
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.4
Coverage
72.1
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.6148/1796
Availability reports · 8
  • Ira Singleton · DLout · 2026-09-29

    Singleton is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Link Rhodes · RBout · 2026-08-26

    Rhodes has been out of the lineup with a tore ACL injury, and he will be out of commission for the remainder of the season.

  • Yamir Knight · WRQues. · 2026-09-29

    Knight is dealing with un undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston College.

  • Yannick Smith · WRQues. · 2026-09-29

    Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston

  • Nick Reed · KQues. · 2026-10-01

    Reed is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston.

  • Miles Uter · TEQues. · 2026-09-12

    Uter is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septembe

  • Christian Rhodes · RBQues. · 2026-09-12

    Rhodes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septem

  • EJ Kelly · RBprobable · 2026-09-17

    Kelly is dealing with an undisclosed injury , but he is likely to play against Louisville on Saturday, 19th September.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

VT
SMU
vs
Offense
85.6
#35 of 138
QB
90.1
#23 of 138
76.8
#58 of 138
RB
70.7
#115 of 138
66.4
#125 of 138
WR
73.9
#44 of 138
86.4
#9 of 138
TE
78.6
#28 of 138
72.2
#34 of 138
OL
66.6
#83 of 138
Defense
81.8
#7 of 138
DL
77.2
#33 of 138
83.0
#11 of 138
LB
71.9
#90 of 138
71.4
#77 of 138
DB
78.1
#9 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Virginia Tech
opponent
SMU
A-5.0
CAL#90
+20.6H
H-1.0
UVA#50
+10.1H
H+10.9
STAN#106
+16.7A
A+7.0
BC#121
+9.0H