Passing
PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT offense
- #38
- VT defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Fri Oct 2 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
PITT 65.2%34.8% VT
- Projected margin
- PITT by 5.8
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- PITT 27 to VT 14
- Win probability
- PITT 65.2%
FinalPITT 35 · VT 33model had -5.8, off by 3.8
Current team profiles
Pittsburgh
Virginia TechWhen Pittsburgh has the ball
Rushing
VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT offense
- #93
- VT defense
- #16
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA
Drive success
VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT offense
- #50
- VT defense
- #15
Success rates
45%
#50
34%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#57
0.01
#47
EPA / play
1.23
#74
1.34
#113
Explosiveness
11%
#23
24%
#2
Havoc
When Virginia Tech has the ball
Passing
VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT defense
- #71
- VT offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT defense
- #2
- VT offense
- #85
EPA comparison
-0.23
#2
0.07
#85
Rush EPA
Drive success
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT defense
- #6
- VT offense
- #43
Success rates
32%
#6
47%
#43
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#21
0.21
#44
EPA / play
1.41
#130
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
18%
#34
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
PittsburghQBMason Heintschel
1304 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
82.460/729
LBJustin Thompson
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.2
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.729/1796
WRBryan Hamilton
1 rec · 36 yds · 1 TD
81.943/2069
DBRashan Murray
5 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 82.4
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 10.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.843/2969
WRTyreek Robinson
5 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD
80.455/2069
DBShawn Lee Jr.
15 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.062/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Malik Knight · WRout · 2026-09-26
Knight is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Mason Heintschel · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Heintschel exited the game with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Boston College on Saturday, Octo
- Elijah Lagg · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Lagg is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Hunt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Hunt is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
Virginia TechQBBryce Baker
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.638/729
TELuke Reynolds
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.5
- Run blocking
- 66.8
- Penalties
- 0
86.49/1017
LBGeorge Ballance
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 88.5
- Coverage
- 63.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.237/1796
LBMathieu Lamah
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.1
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.645/1796
DBDQ Smith
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.6
- Coverage
- 76.5
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 100.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.193/2969
RBJeffrey Overton Jr.
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9113/1044
Availability reports · 6
- Kyle Altuner · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Brody Meadows · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bill Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Luke Stuewe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Shamarius Peterkin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
- Takye Heath · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
PITTPittsburgh
VTVirginia Tech
vs
Offense
82.4
#51 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.6
#35 of 138
74.1
#81 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.8
#58 of 138
77.6
#20 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.4
#125 of 138
70.8
#61 of 138
TE
Tight ends
86.4
#9 of 138
66.7
#80 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.2
#34 of 138
Defense
84.2
#2 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.8
#7 of 138
78.8
#29 of 138
LB
Linebackers
83.0
#11 of 138
75.7
#26 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.4
#77 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Pittsburgh
opponent
Virginia Tech
Aaway+10.2
CALCalifornia#90-5.0Aaway
Aaway-16.1
MIAMiami#4-22.1Aaway
Hhome+10.1
GTGeorgia Tech#66+4.1Hhome
Aaway+11.7
BCBoston College#121+7.0Aaway