CFB
Model
All rankings
ACC

Pittsburgh

Panthers5-14th in ACC
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA · 68,400
TeamCarried by the defense
OffensePassing attack · averageweak point: run game, 93rd
DefenseStingy until it breaks · strong · stout against the runweak point: big plays allowed, 130th

The season

Best win
W 35-33 @ #46 Virginia Tech
Wk 5 · Oct 2 · model had 67%
Worst loss
L 17-21 vs #60 North Carolina
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · lost as a 69% favorite

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsMiami (OH)
    W 59–14
    Win chance 88%Model margin +15.8Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsUCF
    W 12–7
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.4Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 17
    vsSyracuse
    W 27–13
    Win chance 83%Model margin +13.0Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsBucknell
    W 59–0
    Win chance >99%Model margin +56.4Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 2
    atVirginia Tech
    W 35–33
    Win chance 67%Model margin +5.8Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsNorth Carolina
    L 17–21
    Win chance 69%Model margin +6.9Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atBoston College
    Win chance 81%Model margin +11.7Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atMiami
    Win chance 12%Model margin -16.1Game details
  9. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsGeorgia Tech
    Win chance 77%Model margin +10.1Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsFlorida State
    Win chance 42%Model margin -2.9Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atLouisville
    Win chance 46%Model margin -1.5Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atCalifornia
    Win chance 78%Model margin +10.2Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
57
#53 of 138
Defense efficiency
85
#14 of 138
Efficiency
#570.18
EPA / play
#21-0.06
#380.33
Pass
#710.15
#930.04
Rush
#2-0.23
#5045%
Success
#632%
Big plays & havoc
#741.23
Explosive
#1301.41
#2311%
Havoc
#3418%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB51st
RB81st
WR20th
TE61st
OL80th
DL2nd
LB29th
DB26th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Mason HeintschelSO
1304 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
82.4
60th QB
RB
Damon Ferguson Jr.FR
270 yds · 3 TD · 5.3 YPC
75.4
172nd RB
WR
Bryan HamiltonFR
1 rec · 36 yds · 1 TD
81.9
43rd WR
WR
Tyreek RobinsonSO
5 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD
80.4
55th WR
TE
Carson KentSR
12 rec · 157 yds · 1 TD
70.8
78th TE
Defense
LB
Justin ThompsonFR
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
86.7
29th LB
LB
DeMarco WardJR
20 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
76.1
155th LB
DB
Rashan MurraySR
5 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
81.8
43rd DB
DB
Shawn Lee Jr.SO
15 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
80.0
62nd DB
DB
Cruce BrookinsJR
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
74.0
233rd DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Malik KnightWR

Knight is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

64.509-26
Ques.
Mason HeintschelQB

Heintschel exited the game with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Boston College on Saturday, Octo

82.410-10
Ques.
Elijah LaggTE

Lagg is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.

55.710-10
Ques.
Max HuntTE

Hunt is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.

80.0202510-10

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atBoston College
    Playoff chance if win
    7.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.3%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atMiami
    Playoff chance if win
    19.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.3%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsGeorgia Tech
    Playoff chance if win
    7.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.8%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsFlorida State
    Playoff chance if win
    10.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.6%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atLouisville
    Playoff chance if win
    9.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.3%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atCalifornia
    Playoff chance if win
    7.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.0%

Past seasons

Year by year
-3.2 points since 2022
405365789072.0202258.6202362.9202468.82025
2022 72.02023 58.62024 62.92025 68.8

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#35
Rating
68.8
Listed games · 12
WWLLWWWWWLWL
421 pts scored299 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs DuquesneW 61–9
  2. W2 vs Central MichiganW 45–17
  3. W3 at West VirginiaL 24–31
  4. W5 vs LouisvilleL 27–34
  5. W6 vs Boston CollegeW 48–7
  6. W7 at Florida StateW 34–31
  7. W8 at SyracuseW 30–13
  8. W9 vs NC StateW 53–34
  9. W10 at StanfordW 35–20
  10. W12 vs Notre DameL 15–37
  11. W13 at Georgia TechW 42–28
  12. W14 vs MiamiL 7–38

2024

7-5
D-I rank
#60
Rating
62.9
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWLLLLL
382 pts scored321 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Kent StateW 55–24
  2. W2 at CincinnatiW 28–27
  3. W3 vs West VirginiaW 38–34
  4. W4 vs Youngstown StateW 73–17
  5. W6 at North CarolinaW 34–24
  6. W7 vs CaliforniaW 17–15
  7. W9 vs SyracuseW 41–13
  8. W10 at SMUL 25–48
  9. W11 vs VirginiaL 19–24
  10. W12 vs ClemsonL 20–24
  11. W13 at LouisvilleL 9–37
  12. W14 at Boston CollegeL 23–34

2023

3-9
D-I rank
#71
Rating
58.6
Listed games · 12
WLLLLWLLLLWL
242 pts scored328 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs WoffordW 45–7
  2. W2 vs CincinnatiL 21–27
  3. W3 at West VirginiaL 6–17
  4. W4 vs North CarolinaL 24–41
  5. W5 at Virginia TechL 21–38
  6. W7 vs LouisvilleW 38–21
  7. W8 at Wake ForestL 17–21
  8. W9 at Notre DameL 7–58
  9. W10 vs Florida StateL 7–24
  10. W11 vs SyracuseL 13–28
  11. W12 vs Boston CollegeW 24–16
  12. W13 at DukeL 19–30

2022

8-4
D-I rank
#17
Rating
72.0
Listed games · 12
WLWWLWLLWWWW
370 pts scored281 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs West VirginiaW 38–31
  2. W2 vs TennesseeL 27–34
  3. W3 at Western MichiganW 34–13
  4. W4 vs Rhode IslandW 45–24
  5. W5 vs Georgia TechL 21–26
  6. W6 vs Virginia TechW 45–29
  7. W8 at LouisvilleL 10–24
  8. W9 at North CarolinaL 24–42
  9. W10 vs SyracuseW 19–9
  10. W11 at VirginiaW 37–7
  11. W12 vs DukeW 28–26
  12. W13 at MiamiW 42–16