CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Thu Sep 17 · 7:30 PM ET
Pitt-Syracuse
Forecast win probability
SYR 19.2%80.8% PITT
Projected margin
PITT by 13.0
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
SYR 5 to PITT 34
Win probability
PITT 80.8%
FinalSYR 13 · PITT 27model had +13.0, off by 1.0

Current team profiles

Syracuse
Pittsburgh

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#81
PITT defense
#71
EPA comparison
0.18
#81
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#72
PITT defense
#2
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA

Drive success

PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#88
PITT defense
#6
Success rates
42%
#88
32%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#94
-0.06
#21
EPA / play
1.33
#22
1.41
#130
Explosiveness
13%
#39
18%
#34
Havoc

When Pittsburgh has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#7
PITT offense
#38
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.33
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#91
PITT offense
#93
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#65
PITT offense
#50
Success rates
40%
#65
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.18
#47
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
18%
#38
11%
#23
Havoc

Current key players

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

Pittsburgh
QBMason Heintschel
1304 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
82.460/729
LBJustin Thompson
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.2
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.729/1796
WRBryan Hamilton
1 rec · 36 yds · 1 TD
81.943/2069
DBRashan Murray
5 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.3
Coverage
82.4
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
10.7
Missed tackles
0
81.843/2969
WRTyreek Robinson
5 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD
80.455/2069
DBShawn Lee Jr.
15 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
4
80.062/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Malik Knight · WRout · 2026-09-26

    Knight is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Mason Heintschel · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Heintschel exited the game with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Boston College on Saturday, Octo

  • Elijah Lagg · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lagg is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Max Hunt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hunt is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SYR
PITT
vs
Offense
76.0
#78 of 138
QB
82.4
#51 of 138
75.7
#66 of 138
RB
74.1
#81 of 138
72.2
#57 of 138
WR
77.6
#20 of 138
70.6
#62 of 138
TE
70.8
#61 of 138
66.3
#87 of 138
OL
66.7
#80 of 138
Defense
75.2
#53 of 138
DL
84.2
#2 of 138
79.7
#23 of 138
LB
78.8
#29 of 138
67.3
#123 of 138
DB
75.7
#26 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Syracuse
opponent
Pittsburgh
H-3.0
CAL#90
+10.2A
A-0.4
BC#121
+11.7A
H-8.3
LOU#27
-1.5A
A-6.4
UNC#60
-4.0H