Passing
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF offense
- #84
- PITT defense
- #71
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.15
#71
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UCF 31.0%69.0% PITT
- Projected margin
- PITT by 7.4
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- UCF 11 to PITT 28
- Win probability
- PITT 69.0%
FinalUCF 7 · PITT 12model had +7.4, off by 2.4
Current team profiles
UCFPittsburghWhen UCF has the ball
Rushing
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF offense
- #72
- PITT defense
- #2
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA
Drive success
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF offense
- #94
- PITT defense
- #6
Success rates
41%
#94
32%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#80
-0.06
#21
EPA / play
1.29
#33
1.41
#130
Explosiveness
15%
#69
18%
#34
Havoc
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Passing
PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF defense
- #68
- PITT offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.13
#68
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF defense
- #22
- PITT offense
- #93
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF defense
- #67
- PITT offense
- #50
Success rates
40%
#67
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#41
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.10
#22
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
15%
#84
11%
#23
Havoc
Current key players
UCFQBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.5
- Coverage
- 72.5
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 25.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 161
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10
Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
- Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
PittsburghQBMason Heintschel
1304 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
82.460/729
LBJustin Thompson
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.2
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.729/1796
WRBryan Hamilton
1 rec · 36 yds · 1 TD
81.943/2069
DBRashan Murray
5 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 82.4
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 10.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.843/2969
WRTyreek Robinson
5 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD
80.455/2069
DBShawn Lee Jr.
15 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.062/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Malik Knight · WRout · 2026-09-26
Knight is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Mason Heintschel · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Heintschel exited the game with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Boston College on Saturday, Octo
- Elijah Lagg · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Lagg is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Hunt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Hunt is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UCFUCF
PITTPittsburgh
vs
Offense
78.3
#66 of 138
QB
Quarterback
82.4
#51 of 138
76.2
#63 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.1
#81 of 138
68.8
#98 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.6
#20 of 138
70.1
#64 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#61 of 138
70.1
#54 of 138
OL
Offensive line
66.7
#80 of 138
Defense
77.9
#23 of 138
DL
Defensive line
84.2
#2 of 138
71.5
#92 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.8
#29 of 138
74.9
#36 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.7
#26 of 138