AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big 12

UCF

Knights0-012th in Big 12
FBC Mortgage Stadium · Orlando, FL · 44,206
Rank —
52
Rating
54.6
TeamDefense-leaning roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: running back, 125th
DefenseUnproven

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vsBethune-Cookman
100%
Sep 350-10p›
2
at#33Pittsburgh
27%
Sep 1224-32p›
3
vs#131Georgia State
92%
Sep 1937-18p›
4
vs#32TCU
39%
Sep 2626-30p›
5
at#36Houston
31%
Oct 323-30p›
6
at#97Oklahoma State
73%
Oct 1031-23p›
8
vs#19BYU
22%
Oct 2422-32p›
9
vs#42Baylor
46%
Oct 3028-30p›
10
at#50Kansas
36%
Nov 725-30p›
11
vs#43Arizona State
50%
Nov 1427-26p›
12
vs#56Iowa State
53%
Nov 2027-26p›
13
at#74Colorado
57%
Nov 2827-25p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#8366
Talent
#1878
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB51st
RB125th
WR58th
TE68th
DL33rd
LB46th
DB56th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named6 ratedavg 55.52025 ratings
X65.7
J. Bibbs
WR · SO79th
LT—
B. Wayburn
OL · SR
LG—
C. Meadows
OL · SR
C—
H. Tabansi
OL · JR
RG—
O. Spell
OL · SR
RT—
P. Cushman
OL · SR
TE53.4
D. Wade
TE · SR106th
SL46.1
C. Rollerson
WR · SO431st
Z53.1
W. Charles
WR · SO221st
QB65.2
A. Barnett
QB · SR52nd
RB49.4
D. Watson
RB · JR306th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Alonza Barnett IIISR
65.2
52nd QB
RB
Duke WatsonJR
49.4
306th RB
WR
Jonathan BibbsSO
65.7
79th WR
WR
Waden CharlesSO
53.1
221st WR
TE
Dylan WadeSR
53.4
106th TE
Defense
LB
Jahleel CulbreathSR
80.2
50th LB
LB
Lewis CarterSR
70.3
139th LB
DB
Jayden BellamySR
74.2
160th DB
DB
Demari HendersonSR
72.5
182nd DB
DB
Caleb FlaggSR
66.1
333rd DB

Injury report

1 out
out
L.A. Jessie HarroldEDGE
08-25

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–2% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W8
vs#19BYU
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
24% to win
W4
vs#32TCU
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
41% to win
W10
at#50Kansas
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
36% to win
W11
vs#43Arizona State
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
50% to win
W5
at#36Houston
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
32% to win
W12
vs#56Iowa State
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
52% to win
W9
vs#42Baylor
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
47% to win
W13
at#74Colorado
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
56% to win