CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UCF 63.4%36.6% COLO
Projected margin
UCF by 5.4
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
UCF 24 to COLO 13
Win probability
UCF 63.4%

Current team profiles

UCF
Colorado

When UCF has the ball

Passing

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCF offense
#84
COLO defense
#79
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.17
#79
Pass EPA

Rushing

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCF offense
#72
COLO defense
#12
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCF offense
#94
COLO defense
#37
Success rates
41%
#94
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#80
-0.02
#34
EPA / play
1.29
#33
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
15%
#69
21%
#13
Havoc

When Colorado has the ball

Passing

UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCF defense
#68
COLO offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.13
#68
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCF defense
#22
COLO offense
#132
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
-0.10
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCF defense
#67
COLO offense
#107
Success rates
40%
#67
40%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#41
-0.01
#125
EPA / play
1.10
#22
1.17
#100
Explosiveness
15%
#84
17%
#106
Havoc

Current key players

UCF
QBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
72.5
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
0.7
Missed tackles
5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
74.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
25.2
Missed tackles
1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.2
Coverage
71.9
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
16
Yards allowed
161
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10

    Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.

Colorado
QBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
85.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02

    Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01

    Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.

  • Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01

    Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01

    Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UCF
COLO
vs
Offense
78.3
#66 of 138
QB
60.1
#132 of 138
76.2
#63 of 138
RB
81.9
#24 of 138
68.8
#98 of 138
WR
71.8
#64 of 138
70.1
#64 of 138
TE
56.5
#135 of 138
70.1
#54 of 138
OL
71.2
#43 of 138
Defense
77.9
#23 of 138
DL
77.4
#31 of 138
71.5
#92 of 138
LB
74.1
#69 of 138
74.9
#36 of 138
DB
75.0
#34 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UCF
opponent
Colorado
H+3.8
ASU#65
-9.6A
H+0.6
BAY#41
-10.0A
A-14.0
OKST#52
-4.8A
A-10.0
HOU#13
-10.0H