Passing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU offense
- #84
- UCF defense
- #68
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.13
#68
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ASU 40.0%60.0% UCF
- Projected margin
- UCF by 3.8
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- ASU 15 to UCF 22
- Win probability
- UCF 60.0%
Current team profiles
Arizona StateUCFWhen Arizona State has the ball
Rushing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU offense
- #88
- UCF defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
Same rank
- ASU offense
- #67
- UCF defense
- #67
Success rates
44%
#67
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.21
#86
1.10
#22
Explosiveness
16%
#88
15%
#84
Havoc
When UCF has the ball
Passing
ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU defense
- #65
- UCF offense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.16
#84
Pass EPA
Rushing
UCF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU defense
- #84
- UCF offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU defense
- #49
- UCF offense
- #94
Success rates
38%
#49
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#87
0.12
#80
EPA / play
1.31
#105
1.29
#33
Explosiveness
15%
#90
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
Arizona StateQBCutter Boley
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.286/729
WRReed Harris
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.012/2069
LBIsaiah Iosefa
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.8
- Coverage
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.361/1796
RBDemarius Robinson
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.571/1044
DBCaleb Chester
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 77.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 34
- Passer rating allowed
- 86.9
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.176/2969
DBLyrik Rawls
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.5
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 87
- Passer rating allowed
- 95.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.9162/2969
Availability reports · 6
- Lyrik Rawls · CBout · 2026-10-07
Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Khamari Anderson · TEout · 2026-09-21
Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Wade Helton · OGout · 2026-09-18
Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Zyrus Fiaseu · LBout · 2026-08-25
Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grayson Rigdon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October
- Harry Hassmann · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.
UCFQBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.5
- Coverage
- 72.5
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 25.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 161
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10
Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
- Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ASUArizona State
UCFUCF
vs
Offense
78.2
#67 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.3
#66 of 138
78.6
#43 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.2
#63 of 138
72.8
#51 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.8
#98 of 138
60.5
#114 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#64 of 138
70.2
#52 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.1
#54 of 138
Defense
76.2
#44 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#23 of 138
72.0
#88 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.5
#92 of 138
73.3
#53 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.9
#36 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Arizona State
opponent
UCF
Hhome-36.0
BAYBaylor#41+0.6Hhome
Hhome+7.4
OKSTOklahoma State#52-14.0Aaway
Aaway-13.0
BYUBYU#18-6.5Hhome
Nneutral+7.0
KUKansas#31+0.7Aaway
Hhome+9.6
COLOColorado#84+5.4Aaway