Passing
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST offense
- #12
- UCF defense
- #68
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.13
#68
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GAST 8.0%92.0% UCF
- Projected margin
- UCF by 22.0
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- UCF 3 to UCF 42
- Win probability
- UCF 92.0%
FinalGAST 30 · UCF 44model had +22.0, off by 8.0
Current team profiles
Georgia State
UCFWhen Georgia State has the ball
Rushing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST offense
- #63
- UCF defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST offense
- #41
- UCF defense
- #67
Success rates
47%
#41
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.29
#36
1.10
#22
Explosiveness
11%
#14
15%
#84
Havoc
When UCF has the ball
Passing
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST defense
- #7
- UCF offense
- #84
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.16
#84
Pass EPA
Rushing
UCF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST defense
- #73
- UCF offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST defense
- #30
- UCF offense
- #94
Success rates
35%
#30
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.12
#80
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.29
#33
Explosiveness
20%
#15
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
Georgia StateQBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.9
- Coverage
- 62.0
- Pressures
- 25
- Pass-rush snaps
- 93
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
UCFQBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.5
- Coverage
- 72.5
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 25.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 161
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10
Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
- Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
GASTGeorgia State
UCFUCF
vs
Offense
90.3
#21 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.3
#66 of 138
77.2
#53 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.2
#63 of 138
74.1
#41 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.8
#98 of 138
64.8
#91 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#64 of 138
72.2
#33 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.1
#54 of 138
Defense
72.4
#78 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#23 of 138
85.7
#2 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.5
#92 of 138
69.8
#101 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.9
#36 of 138