AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big 12

Baylor

Bears0-07th in Big 12
McLane Stadium · Waco, TX · 45,140
Rank —
42
Rating
57.5
TeamOffense-leaning roster
OffenseVeteran lineweak point: receiver, 108th
DefenseUnproven

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#31AuburnN
17%
Sep 523-36p›
2
vsPrairie View A&M
99%
Sep 1346-14p›
3
vs#94Louisiana Tech
86%
Sep 1936-21p›
4
vs#74Colorado
79%
Sep 2635-23p›
5
at#43Arizona State
47%
Oct 329-30p›
7
vs#32TCUBluebonnet Shield
51%
Oct 1731-31p›
8
at#50Kansas
47%
Oct 2429-31p›
9
at#52UCF
54%
Oct 3030-28p›
10
vs#56Iowa State
64%
Nov 731-27p›
11
at#19BYU
20%
Nov 1424-35p›
12
vs#5Texas Tech
17%
Nov 2124-37p›
13
at#36Houston
41%
Nov 2827-30p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#2675
Talent
#9862
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB57th
RB57th
WR108th
TE81st
OL16th
DL45th
LB52nd
DB50th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 58.32025 ratings
X47.8
J. Porter
WR · JR380th
LT81.7
A. Lorenzetti
OL · SR31st
LG65.7
K. Sieracki
OL · SR84th
C—
A. Hale
OL · JR
RG—
K. Sieracki
OL · JR
RT—
L. Moore
OL · SR
TE48.5
M. Klopfenstein
TE · SR144th
SL46.6
L. Brown
WR · SR422nd
Z47.3
T. Williams
WR · SO398th
QB63.8
D. Lagway
QB · JR58th
RB64.7
C. Knighten
RB · SO76th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
DJ LagwayJR
63.8
58th QB
RB
Caden KnightenSO
64.7
76th RB
WR
Jadon PorterJR
47.8
380th WR
WR
Taz Williams Jr.SO
47.3
398th WR
TE
Matthew KlopfensteinSR
48.5
144th TE
Defense
LB
Garrick PonderSR
74.3
112th LB
LB
Ryan DavisSR
71.5
126th LB
CB
Devon JordanJR
74.5
159th DB
CB
Stilton McKelveySR
71.5
203rd DB
S
Daniel CobbsSR
70.8
213th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
T. Williams Jr.WR
08-21
questionable
T. LivingstonTE
08-21

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–4% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W12
vs#5Texas Tech
0% lose4% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
19% to win
W11
at#19BYU
0% lose4% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
21% to win
W8
at#50Kansas
0% lose2% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
46% to win
W13
at#36Houston
0% lose2% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
43% to win
W9
at#52UCF
0% lose2% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
53% to win
W7
vs#32TCU
0% lose2% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
51% to win
W5
at#43Arizona State
0% lose2% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
47% to win
W10
vs#56Iowa State
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
63% to win