Passing
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TCU offense
- #55
- BAY defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Bluebonnet Shield
Away
TCU
2-3
27p
Forecast win probability
TCU 48.3%51.7% BAY
- Projected margin
- BAY by 0.7
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- TCU 18 to BAY 19
- Win probability
- BAY 51.7%
Current team profiles
TCUBaylorWhen TCU has the ball
Rushing
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TCU offense
- #113
- BAY defense
- #2
EPA comparison
-0.01
#113
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA
Drive success
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TCU offense
- #57
- BAY defense
- #13
Success rates
45%
#57
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#77
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.24
#63
1.08
#14
Explosiveness
15%
#69
20%
#15
Havoc
When Baylor has the ball
Passing
TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TCU defense
- #17
- BAY offense
- #62
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TCU defense
- #8
- BAY offense
- #70
EPA comparison
-0.17
#8
0.11
#70
Rush EPA
Drive success
TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TCU defense
- #33
- BAY offense
- #102
Success rates
36%
#33
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.16
#68
EPA / play
0.96
#1
1.37
#15
Explosiveness
18%
#39
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
TCUQBJaden Craig
1400 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
79.672/729
TEKari Ashley
25 rec · 374 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 55.0
- Run blocking
- 64.8
- Penalties
- 0
84.113/1017
SKaden McFadden
14 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.9
- Coverage
- 67.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 3
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
82.838/2969
CBVernon Glover Jr.
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.3
- Coverage
- 75.3
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 22.9
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.175/2969
LBHudson Hooper
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 13
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.3114/1796
LBKeylan Abrams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3131/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Michael Short · LBout · 2026-10-01
Short is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Jordan Dwyer · WRout · 2026-09-11
Dwyer is dealing with a foot injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- J. Pitchford · RBout · 2026-10-01
Pitchford has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Cougars on Saturday.
- Kyle Lemmermann · KQues. · 2026-10-01
Lemmermann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cougars on Saturday.
BaylorQBNate Bennett
568 yds · 5 TD · 2 INT
75.6109/729
SMicah Gifford
27 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.4
- Coverage
- 85.9
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.1
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.38/2969
RBRyelan Morris
182 yds · 1 TD · 8.3 YPC
84.741/1044
LBKaleb Arterberry
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.4
- Coverage
- 73.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.652/1796
LBJJ Shelton
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.362/1796
SBo Onu
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.7
- Coverage
- 82.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.842/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Taz Williams Jr. · WRout · 2026-08-21
Williams who is dealing with a collarbone injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Cole Redding · Sout · 2026-09-05
Redding has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Ashton Jones · WRQues. · 2026-09-26
Jones is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Arizona St. on Saturday, October 3rd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TCUTCU
BAYBaylor
vs
Offense
79.6
#58 of 138
QB
Quarterback
75.6
#81 of 138
74.7
#74 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#28 of 138
67.7
#112 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.4
#53 of 138
84.1
#13 of 138
TE
Tight ends
77.4
#31 of 138
69.3
#58 of 138
OL
Offensive line
62.7
#117 of 138
Defense
77.0
#37 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.1
#63 of 138
76.8
#46 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.5
#18 of 138
77.8
#10 of 138
DB
Secondary
79.2
#4 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
TCU
opponent
Baylor
Aaway-8.0
UCFUCF#48-0.6Aaway
Hhome+10.0
KUKansas#31+2.7Aaway
Aaway-17.0
TTUTexas Tech#10-13.7Hhome
Hhome-7.0
BYUBYU#18-9.8Aaway