AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big 12

TCU

Horned Frogs0-15th in Big 12
Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX · 46,000
Rank —
32
Rating
61.0
TeamSolid roster
OffenseUnproven
DefenseUnproven

The season

1 games played
Worst loss
L 10-15 vs (N) #61 North Carolina
Wk 1 · Aug 29 · lost as a 92% favorite

Rank by week

Not enough weekly data

Schedule

model 0/1 straight up
WkOpponentWin probResultModelGame page
1
vs#61North CarolinaN
92%
L 10-15
+19.2✗
›
2
vsGrambling
99%
Sep 13
+34.3
›
3
vs#104Arkansas State
92%
Sep 20
+18.9
›
4
at#52UCF
61%
Sep 26
+3.6
›
5
vs#19BYU
38%
Oct 3
-4.1
›
7
at#42BaylorBluebonnet Shield
50%
Oct 17
-0.2
›
8
vs#66West Virginia
80%
Oct 24
+11.5
›
9
vs#50Kansas
68%
Oct 31
+6.2
›
10
at#26Arizona
33%
Nov 7
-5.9
›
11
vs#44Kansas State
62%
Nov 14
+4.2
›
12
vs#16Utah
32%
Nov 21
-6.2
›
13
at#5Texas TechSaddle Trophy
12%
Nov 27
-15.7
›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#3973
Talent
#5170
Position groups2025 player ratings
RB46th
WR25th
TE60th
OL62nd
DL95th
LB43rd
DB54th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named7 ratedavg 59.51 top-252025 ratings
X84.9
J. Dwyer
WR · SR14th
LT51.8
C. Bennett
OL · SR134th
LG40.4
N. McKinney
OL · SR182nd
C—
B. Taylor-Whitfield
OL · SR
RG—
C. Powers
OL · JR
RT—
W. Hoy
OL · SO
TE56.0
L. Kaiuway
TE · JR86th
SL52.4
J. Scott
WR · SO251st
Z57.6
E. Small
WR · SO138th
QB—
A. Schobel
QB · FR
RB73.4
J. Payne
RB · JR43rd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
RB
Jeremy PayneJR
73.4
43rd RB
WR
Jordan DwyerSR
84.9
14th WR
WR
Ed SmallSO
57.6
138th WR
TE
Lafayette KaiuwayJR
56.0
86th TE
Defense
LB
Paul OyewaleJR
75.3
105th LB
LB
Zach ChapmanJR
69.9
145th LB
CB
Kalen CarrollSR
86.7
32nd DB
S
Ryan YaitesSR
65.2
350th DB
S
Jamel JohnsonSR
64.9
357th DB
LB
Max CarrollJR
64.0
225th LB

Injury report

2 out · 1 starters
out
Jacob FieldsS
08-19
out
D. EzukanmaWR
08-27
questionable
J. DwyerWR
08-29
probable
Zach ChapmanEDGEstarter
08-25

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–8% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W12
vs#16Utah
1% lose5% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
34% to win
W5
vs#19BYU
1% lose4% win
±1.2
likely move
in odds
39% to win
W13
at#5Texas Tech
1% lose8% win
±1.2
likely move
in odds
14% to win
W10
at#26Arizona
1% lose5% win
±1.2
likely move
in odds
34% to win
W7
at#42Baylor
1% lose4% win
±1.1
likely move
in odds
49% to win
W11
vs#44Kansas State
1% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
62% to win
W4
at#52UCF
1% lose3% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
59% to win
W9
vs#50Kansas
1% lose3% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
67% to win