Passing
TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #47
- TCU defense
- #17
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
KSU 42.2%57.8% TCU
- Projected margin
- TCU by 2.9
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- KSU 16 to TCU 22
- Win probability
- TCU 57.8%
Current team profiles
Kansas StateTCUWhen Kansas State has the ball
Rushing
TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #9
- TCU defense
- #8
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA
Drive success
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #12
- TCU defense
- #33
Success rates
51%
#12
36%
#33
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#25
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.17
#98
0.96
#1
Explosiveness
9%
#6
18%
#39
Havoc
When TCU has the ball
Passing
TCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #60
- TCU offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.27
#55
Pass EPA
Rushing
KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #93
- TCU offense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #26
- TCU offense
- #57
Success rates
35%
#26
45%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#80
0.13
#77
EPA / play
1.44
#134
1.24
#63
Explosiveness
20%
#21
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
Kansas StateQBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05
Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21
Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.
- Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
TCUQBJaden Craig
1400 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
79.672/729
TEKari Ashley
25 rec · 374 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 55.0
- Run blocking
- 64.8
- Penalties
- 0
84.113/1017
SKaden McFadden
14 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.9
- Coverage
- 67.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 3
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
82.838/2969
CBVernon Glover Jr.
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.3
- Coverage
- 75.3
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 22.9
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.175/2969
LBHudson Hooper
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 13
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.3114/1796
LBKeylan Abrams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3131/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Michael Short · LBout · 2026-10-01
Short is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Jordan Dwyer · WRout · 2026-09-11
Dwyer is dealing with a foot injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- J. Pitchford · RBout · 2026-10-01
Pitchford has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Cougars on Saturday.
- Kyle Lemmermann · KQues. · 2026-10-01
Lemmermann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cougars on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
KSUKansas State
TCUTCU
vs
Offense
78.0
#69 of 138
QB
Quarterback
79.6
#58 of 138
76.9
#55 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.7
#74 of 138
67.5
#115 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.7
#112 of 138
70.9
#57 of 138
TE
Tight ends
84.1
#13 of 138
80.3
#4 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.3
#58 of 138
Defense
73.0
#72 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#37 of 138
83.5
#9 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.8
#46 of 138
71.4
#78 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.8
#10 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Kansas State
opponent
TCU
Hhome-1.5
ARIZArizona#25-6.5Aaway
Hhome+9.7
KUKansas#31+10.0Hhome