AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big 12

Kansas State

Wildcats0-09th in Big 12
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS · 50,000
Rank —
44
Rating
57.1
TeamAverage roster
OffenseLoaded at the skill spotsweak point: offensive line, 103rd
DefenseExperienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vsNicholls
100%
Sep 546-9p›
2
vs#85Washington State
83%
Sep 1234-21p›
3
vs#88Tulane
83%
Sep 1934-21p›
4
at#51Cincinnati
52%
Sep 2629-28p›
6
vs#36Houston
58%
Oct 1029-26p›
7
vs#50KansasGovernor's Cup (Kansas)
63%
Oct 1731-26p›
8
at#43Arizona State
48%
Oct 2427-28p›
9
at#74Colorado
69%
Oct 3131-24p›
10
vs#97Oklahoma State
91%
Nov 737-20p›
11
at#32TCU
38%
Nov 1427-31p›
12
vs#26Arizona
42%
Nov 2127-29p›
13
at#56Iowa State
51%
Nov 2828-27p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#6268
Talent
#5869
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB31st
RB16th
WR47th
TE15th
OL103rd
DL41st
LB85th
DB31st

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 56.72 top-252025 ratings
X61.3
J. Manning
WR · SR107th
LT32.9
T. Morley
OL · JR211th
LG25.4
G. Fitzpatrick
OL · SR246th
C—
C. Adams
OL · JR
RG—
D. Morris
OL · JR
RT—
G. Hawkins
OL · SO
TE67.4
G. Oakley
TE · SR15th
SL52.1
S. Lockett
WR · SR257th
Z60.4
J. Tibbs
WR · SR111th
QB73.3
A. Johnson
QB · SR31st
RB81.0
J. Jackson
RB · JR20th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Avery JohnsonSR
73.3
31st QB
RB
Joe JacksonJR
81.0
20th RB
WR
Josh ManningSR
61.3
107th WR
WR
Jaron TibbsSR
60.4
111th WR
TE
Garrett OakleySR
67.4
15th TE
Defense
LB
Mekhi MasonSR
70.3
138th LB
LB
Jacobi Oliphant Jr.SO
60.4
276th LB
S
Ja'son PrevardSR
84.6
50th DB
CB
Zashon RichJR
81.0
84th DB
S
Koy BeasleySO
70.7
221st DB

Injury report

11 out
out
Fans Should Look
08-02
out
Kansas State offensive lineOL
08-18
out
MorleyOL
08-18
out
OL starterOL
08-18
out
PastoreOL
08-18
out
George FitzpatrickOL
08-20
out
John PastoreOL
08-20
out
Tackle John Pastore
08-20
out
offensive linemanOL
08-20
out
unknownOL
08-20
out
LT John Pastore
08-22
questionable
A. MorrellTE
08-19
questionable
I. KochWR
08-19
questionable
M. LovettWR
08-19
questionable
D. DuffQB
08-29
probable
Oliver MillerOL
08-26

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–3% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W11
at#32TCU
1% lose3% win
±1.0
likely move
in odds
38% to win
W12
vs#26Arizona
0% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
44% to win
W4
at#51Cincinnati
0% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
52% to win
W6
vs#36Houston
0% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W13
at#56Iowa State
0% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
51% to win
W7
vs#50Kansas
0% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
62% to win
W8
at#43Arizona State
1% lose3% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
48% to win
W9
at#74Colorado
0% lose2% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
68% to win