Passing
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #47
- ISU defense
- #79
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
KSU 44.1%55.9% ISU
- Projected margin
- ISU by 2.4
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- KSU 16 to ISU 21
- Win probability
- ISU 55.9%
Current team profiles
Kansas State
Iowa StateWhen Kansas State has the ball
Rushing
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #9
- ISU defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #12
- ISU defense
- #73
Success rates
51%
#12
40%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#25
0.07
#75
EPA / play
1.17
#98
1.25
#86
Explosiveness
9%
#6
15%
#79
Havoc
When Iowa State has the ball
Passing
KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #60
- ISU offense
- #82
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.17
#82
Pass EPA
Rushing
ISU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #93
- ISU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #26
- ISU offense
- #111
Success rates
35%
#26
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#80
0.13
#79
EPA / play
1.44
#134
1.30
#31
Explosiveness
20%
#21
18%
#121
Havoc
Current key players
Kansas StateQBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05
Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21
Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.
- Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
KSUKansas State
ISUIowa State
vs
Offense
78.0
#69 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.4
#124 of 138
76.9
#55 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.6
#25 of 138
67.5
#115 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#63 of 138
70.9
#57 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.6
#124 of 138
80.3
#4 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#51 of 138
Defense
73.0
#72 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.3
#22 of 138
83.5
#9 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.3
#77 of 138
71.4
#78 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#19 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Kansas State
opponent
Iowa State
Aaway-5.0
CINCincinnati#59+5.3Hhome
Hhome-1.5
ARIZArizona#25-7.1Aaway
Hhome+12.3
OKSTOklahoma State#52+12.0Hhome